Italy · Serie A

Parma vs Torino

Kick-off 19:45 · Mon, Oct 19

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

35% confidence

Parma 33.5% Draw 31.3% Torino 35.2%

Over 2.5 - 65% BTTS - 66%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

69%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

66%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Torino: 4 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Parma 1 wins, 2 draws, Torino 1 wins in the last 4 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.4%

Exact-score model probability

Parma

L W L D L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 4:10 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.67

Torino

W D L W L L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 7:9 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 4

Parma 1wins ·2 draws ·Torino 1wins

Parma 1-4 TorinoMar 13, 2026

Parma 2-1 TorinoSep 29, 2025

Parma 2-2 TorinoMar 8, 2025

Parma 0-0 TorinoJan 5, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Parma win33.5%

Draw31.3%

Torino win35.2%

Over 1.5 goals59.2%

Over 2.5 goals64.6%

Over 3.5 goals14.0%

Both teams to score66.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

91.9%

Under 5.5 Goals

89.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)76.6%

Both Halves Over 0.563.4%

Goal in Both Halves63.4%

Home or Draw (1X)62.8%

Draw or Away (X2)60.5%

Draw No Bet - Home51.5%

Draw No Bet - Away48.5%

Home Win39.5%

Away Win37.2%

Draw23.4%

Exactly 1 Goal12.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.0%

Under 5.5 Goals89.3%

Over 1.5 Goals83.1%

Under 4.5 Goals77.8%

Over 2.5 Goals62.3%

2-4 Goals60.9%

Under 3.5 Goals59.9%

1-3 Goals55.9%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals43.0%

Over 3.5 Goals40.1%

4+ Goals40.1%

3-4 Goals40.1%

Under 2.5 Goals37.7%

1-2 Goals33.7%

Over 4.5 Goals22.2%

Exactly 3 Goals22.2%

Exactly 2 Goals20.8%

Under 1.5 Goals16.9%

Over 5.5 Goals10.7%

Under 0.5 Goals4.0%

Exactly 0 Goals4.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score80.5%

Away Team to Score79.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)63.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)36.1%

Home Clean Sheet20.6%

Away Clean Sheet19.5%

Home Win to Nil16.6%

Away Win to Nil15.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.580.5%

Away Over 0.579.4%

Home Over 1.548.6%

Away Over 1.546.9%

Away Exactly 132.5%

Home Exactly 131.9%

Home Exactly 226.1%

Away Exactly 225.7%

Home Over 2.522.5%

Home 3+ Goals22.5%

Away Over 2.521.1%

Away 3+ Goals21.1%

Away Exactly 020.6%

Home Exactly 019.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)91.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away91.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)81.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home81.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)80.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away80.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)62.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home62.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)60.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away60.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)39.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)37.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)19.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home19.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.6%

Home to win by 119.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.9%

Away to win by 118.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)18.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away18.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.8%

Home to win by 211.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.0%

Away to win by 211.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)8.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home8.1%

Home to win by 3+8.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.2%

Away to win by 3+7.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.553.5%

Home & Over 2.527.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.527.3%

Away & Over 2.525.8%

Home & BTTS22.9%

Away & BTTS21.7%

Draw & BTTS19.3%

Home & No BTTS16.6%

Away & No BTTS15.5%

Draw & Under 2.514.4%

Home & Under 2.511.9%

Away & Under 2.511.4%

BTTS & Under 2.510.4%

Draw & Over 2.59.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.576.5%

HT Under 1.557.6%

2nd Half More Goals45.3%

HT Over 1.542.4%

HT Draw37.6%

HT Home Win31.9%

1st Half More Goals31.6%

HT Away Win30.5%

HT Both Teams Score26.5%

HT/FT Home/Home23.8%

HT Under 0.523.5%

Equal Goals Each Half23.1%

HT/FT Away/Away22.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home2.8%

HT/FT Home/Away2.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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