Italy · Serie A

Parma vs Udinese

Kick-off 18:30 · Wed, Oct 28

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

37% confidence

Parma 32.9% Draw 30.6% Udinese 36.5%

Over 2.5 - 79% BTTS - 77%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

77%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 9.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Parma: 4 points versus 0 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Parma 1 wins, 0 draws, Udinese 3 wins in the last 4 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.2%

Exact-score model probability

Parma

L L L W L D

Form 1-1-4 Goals 6:12 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2

Udinese

L L L L L L

Form 0-0-6 Goals 5:14 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 2.33

Head to head · last 4

Parma 1wins ·0 draws ·Udinese 3wins

Parma 1-0 UdineseApr 18, 2026

Parma 0-2 UdineseNov 29, 2025

Parma 0-1 UdineseMar 1, 2025

Parma 2-3 UdineseSep 16, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Parma win32.9%

Draw30.6%

Udinese win36.5%

Over 1.5 goals60.6%

Over 2.5 goals78.6%

Over 3.5 goals15.1%

Both teams to score76.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

92.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.7%

Both Halves Over 0.567.7%

Goal in Both Halves67.7%

Home or Draw (1X)62.4%

Draw or Away (X2)59.8%

Draw No Bet - Home51.7%

Draw No Bet - Away48.3%

Home Win40.2%

Away Win37.5%

Draw22.3%

Exactly 1 Goal10.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.0%

Over 1.5 Goals86.4%

Under 5.5 Goals85.8%

Under 4.5 Goals72.6%

Over 2.5 Goals67.9%

2-4 Goals59.0%

Under 3.5 Goals53.7%

1-3 Goals50.6%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals46.3%

4+ Goals46.3%

3-4 Goals40.5%

2-3 Goals40.1%

Under 2.5 Goals32.1%

1-2 Goals29.1%

Over 4.5 Goals27.4%

Exactly 3 Goals21.6%

Exactly 2 Goals18.5%

Over 5.5 Goals14.2%

Under 1.5 Goals13.6%

Under 0.5 Goals3.0%

Exactly 0 Goals3.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score83.2%

Away Team to Score82.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)68.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)31.8%

Home Clean Sheet17.9%

Away Clean Sheet16.8%

Home Win to Nil14.9%

Away Win to Nil13.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.583.2%

Away Over 0.582.0%

Home Over 1.553.2%

Away Over 1.551.2%

Away Exactly 130.8%

Home Exactly 130.0%

Home Exactly 226.7%

Away Exactly 226.5%

Home Over 2.526.4%

Home 3+ Goals26.4%

Away Over 2.524.7%

Away 3+ Goals24.7%

Away Exactly 017.9%

Home Exactly 016.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)80.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home80.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)78.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away78.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)62.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home62.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)59.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away59.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)40.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)37.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)21.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home21.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)19.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away19.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.1%

Home to win by 119.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.4%

Away to win by 118.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.0%

Home to win by 212.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.1%

Away to win by 211.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.1%

Home to win by 3+9.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.0%

Away to win by 3+8.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.559.0%

Home & Over 2.530.0%

Away & Over 2.527.9%

Home & BTTS25.2%

Away & BTTS23.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.522.8%

Draw & BTTS19.2%

Home & No BTTS14.9%

Away & No BTTS13.8%

Draw & Under 2.512.3%

Home & Under 2.510.2%

Draw & Over 2.510.0%

Away & Under 2.59.6%

BTTS & Under 2.59.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.3%

HT Under 1.553.3%

HT Over 1.546.7%

2nd Half More Goals46.2%

HT Draw35.7%

HT Home Win33.0%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Away Win31.3%

HT Both Teams Score29.7%

HT/FT Home/Home24.5%

HT/FT Away/Away22.7%

Equal Goals Each Half22.0%

HT Under 0.520.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.1%

HT/FT Home/Away3.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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