Netherlands · Eredivisie

PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur

Kick-off 13:30 · Sun, Oct 11

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

56% confidence

PEC Zwolle 55.8% Draw 23.0% Cambuur 21.2%

Over 2.5 - 83% BTTS - 72%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 6.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Cambuur: 4 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.9%

Exact-score model probability

PEC Zwolle

L L D L W L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 6:18 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 3

Cambuur

D W D L L L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 10:15 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2.5

Head to head · last 2

PEC Zwolle 1wins ·0 draws ·Cambuur 1wins

PEC Zwolle 4-3 CambuurFeb 12, 2022

PEC Zwolle 1-2 CambuurNov 6, 2021

📈 Probability Breakdown

PEC Zwolle win55.8%

Draw23.0%

Cambuur win21.2%

Over 1.5 goals86.8%

Over 2.5 goals82.9%

Over 3.5 goals44.7%

Both teams to score71.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

89.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

89.7%

HT Over 0.5

87.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)83.1%

Both Halves Over 0.581.3%

Goal in Both Halves81.3%

Draw or Away (X2)78.4%

Draw No Bet - Away74.4%

Away Win61.8%

Home or Draw (1X)37.8%

Draw No Bet - Home25.6%

Home Win21.3%

Draw16.6%

Exactly 1 Goal4.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.7%

Over 1.5 Goals94.5%

Over 2.5 Goals84.4%

Over 3.5 Goals68.6%

4+ Goals68.6%

Under 5.5 Goals67.3%

Over 4.5 Goals50.1%

Under 4.5 Goals49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

2-4 Goals44.3%

3-4 Goals34.3%

Over 5.5 Goals32.7%

Under 3.5 Goals31.4%

1-3 Goals30.1%

2-3 Goals25.8%

Exactly 3 Goals15.8%

Under 2.5 Goals15.6%

1-2 Goals14.4%

Exactly 2 Goals10.1%

Under 1.5 Goals5.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.4%

Home Team to Score82.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)78.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)22.0%

Away Clean Sheet17.2%

Away Win to Nil16.3%

Home Clean Sheet5.3%

Home Win to Nil4.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.4%

Home Over 0.582.4%

Away Over 1.578.9%

Away Over 2.556.0%

Away 3+ Goals56.0%

Home Over 1.552.1%

Home Exactly 130.3%

Home Exactly 226.5%

Home Over 2.525.6%

Home 3+ Goals25.6%

Away Exactly 222.8%

Home Exactly 017.2%

Away Exactly 115.5%

Away Exactly 05.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)93.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home93.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)89.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away89.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)86.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home86.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)78.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away78.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)73.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home73.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)61.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)56.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home56.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)42.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away42.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)37.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home37.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)25.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away25.9%

Away to win by 3+25.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)21.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.9%

Away to win by 118.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.0%

Away to win by 217.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)13.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away13.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw12.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.3%

Home to win by 111.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)10.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home10.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw7.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away6.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.0%

Home to win by 26.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.9%

Home to win by 3+3.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.573.3%

Away & Over 2.555.2%

Away & BTTS45.5%

Home & Over 2.518.3%

Home & BTTS16.9%

Away & No BTTS16.3%

Draw & BTTS15.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.1%

Draw & Over 2.511.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.6%

Away & Under 2.56.6%

Draw & Under 2.55.6%

BTTS & Under 2.54.7%

Home & No BTTS4.4%

Home & Under 2.53.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.9%

HT Over 1.562.4%

HT Away Win49.3%

2nd Half More Goals49.1%

HT/FT Away/Away42.2%

HT Both Teams Score40.1%

HT Under 1.537.6%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw28.4%

HT Home Win22.3%

Equal Goals Each Half18.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.0%

HT/FT Home/Home12.5%

HT Under 0.512.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.4%

HT/FT Home/Away5.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home2.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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