Netherlands · Eredivisie

PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen

Kick-off 20:00 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

50% confidence

PEC Zwolle 26.3% Draw 24.0% NEC Nijmegen 49.7%

Over 2.5 - 76% BTTS - 75%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 9.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to NEC Nijmegen: 6 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: PEC Zwolle 0 wins, 2 draws, NEC Nijmegen 3 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.1%

Exact-score model probability

PEC Zwolle

W L L L L W

Form 2-0-4 Goals 6:10 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.67

NEC Nijmegen

L L W W L D

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:10 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 5

PEC Zwolle 0wins ·2 draws ·NEC Nijmegen 3wins

PEC Zwolle 1-2 NEC NijmegenJan 24, 2026

PEC Zwolle 2-2 NEC NijmegenOct 25, 2025

PEC Zwolle 0-1 NEC NijmegenJan 11, 2025

PEC Zwolle 0-1 NEC NijmegenAug 24, 2024

PEC Zwolle 2-2 NEC NijmegenApr 14, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

PEC Zwolle win26.3%

Draw24.0%

NEC Nijmegen win49.7%

Over 1.5 goals86.2%

Over 2.5 goals75.9%

Over 3.5 goals43.7%

Both teams to score74.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

88.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

88.0%

Away Team to Score

87.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.0%

Draw or Away (X2)73.2%

Both Halves Over 0.568.8%

Goal in Both Halves68.8%

Draw No Bet - Away66.1%

Away Win52.2%

Home or Draw (1X)47.7%

Draw No Bet - Home33.9%

Home Win26.8%

Draw21.0%

Exactly 1 Goal10.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.2%

Over 1.5 Goals87.2%

Under 5.5 Goals84.7%

Under 4.5 Goals71.1%

Over 2.5 Goals69.3%

2-4 Goals58.3%

Under 3.5 Goals52.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

1-3 Goals49.2%

Over 3.5 Goals48.0%

4+ Goals48.0%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals39.2%

Under 2.5 Goals30.7%

Over 4.5 Goals28.9%

1-2 Goals27.9%

Exactly 3 Goals21.3%

Exactly 2 Goals17.9%

Over 5.5 Goals15.3%

Under 1.5 Goals12.8%

Under 0.5 Goals2.8%

Exactly 0 Goals2.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score87.8%

Home Team to Score77.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)67.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)32.4%

Away Clean Sheet23.0%

Away Win to Nil20.2%

Home Clean Sheet12.1%

Home Win to Nil9.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.587.8%

Home Over 0.577.0%

Away Over 1.562.2%

Home Over 1.543.2%

Away Over 2.535.2%

Away 3+ Goals35.2%

Home Exactly 133.8%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 125.6%

Home Exactly 224.8%

Home Exactly 023.0%

Home Over 2.518.4%

Home 3+ Goals18.4%

Away Exactly 012.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)88.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away88.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)84.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home84.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)73.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away73.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)68.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home68.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)52.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)47.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home47.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)31.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away31.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)26.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.1%

Away to win by 121.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.7%

Away to win by 215.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)15.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away15.4%

Away to win by 3+15.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.8%

Home to win by 114.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)12.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home12.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.6%

Home to win by 27.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)6.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away6.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.4%

Home to win by 3+4.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.559.0%

Away & Over 2.540.2%

Away & BTTS32.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.522.0%

Away & No BTTS20.2%

Home & Over 2.519.6%

Draw & BTTS18.2%

Home & BTTS17.4%

Away & Under 2.512.1%

Draw & Under 2.511.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.3%

Draw & Over 2.59.5%

Home & No BTTS9.4%

BTTS & Under 2.58.7%

Home & Under 2.57.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.0%

HT Under 1.552.2%

HT Over 1.547.8%

2nd Half More Goals46.4%

HT Away Win40.8%

HT Draw34.6%

HT/FT Away/Away33.3%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Both Teams Score29.7%

HT Home Win24.5%

Equal Goals Each Half21.7%

HT Under 0.520.0%

HT/FT Home/Home15.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away3.7%

HT/FT Away/Home2.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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