USA · Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami

Kick-off 00:30 · Thu, Aug 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

55% confidence

Philadelphia Union 55.4% Draw 17.6% Inter Miami 27.0%

Over 2.5 - 90% BTTS - 86%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 6%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 5.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Philadelphia Union

W W W W L D

Form 4-1-1 Goals 15:12 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 2

Inter Miami

L D W W W W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 15:12 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 1

Philadelphia Union 0wins ·0 draws ·Inter Miami 1wins

Philadelphia Union 4-6 Inter MiamiMay 25, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Philadelphia Union win55.4%

Draw17.6%

Inter Miami win27.0%

Over 1.5 goals97.4%

Over 2.5 goals90.1%

Over 3.5 goals78.0%

Both teams to score85.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.0%

Over 2.5 Goals

89.7%

Away Team to Score

88.9%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.586.2%

Goal in Both Halves86.2%

Home or Away (12)82.9%

Home or Draw (1X)72.2%

Draw No Bet - Home67.1%

Home Win55.6%

Draw or Away (X2)43.9%

Draw No Bet - Away32.9%

Away Win27.3%

Draw16.6%

Exactly 1 Goal2.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.0%

Over 1.5 Goals96.5%

Over 2.5 Goals89.7%

Over 3.5 Goals77.6%

4+ Goals77.6%

Over 4.5 Goals61.3%

Under 5.5 Goals56.0%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Over 5.5 Goals44.0%

Under 4.5 Goals38.7%

2-4 Goals35.1%

3-4 Goals28.3%

Under 3.5 Goals22.4%

1-3 Goals21.4%

2-3 Goals18.9%

Exactly 3 Goals12.1%

Under 2.5 Goals10.3%

1-2 Goals9.3%

Exactly 2 Goals6.8%

Under 1.5 Goals3.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.0%

Away Team to Score88.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)84.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)15.1%

Home Clean Sheet10.6%

Home Win to Nil10.1%

Away Clean Sheet4.5%

Away Win to Nil4.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.0%

Away Over 0.588.9%

Home Over 1.581.1%

Away Over 1.565.2%

Home Over 2.559.6%

Home 3+ Goals59.6%

Away Over 2.538.6%

Away 3+ Goals38.6%

Away Exactly 226.6%

Away Exactly 123.7%

Home Exactly 221.6%

Home Exactly 113.9%

Away Exactly 010.6%

Home Exactly 04.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)87.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away87.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)84.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home84.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)76.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away76.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)72.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home72.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)61.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away61.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)55.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)43.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away43.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)38.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home38.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)27.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)22.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home22.8%

Home to win by 3+22.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.6%

Home to win by 117.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.2%

Home to win by 215.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)14.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away14.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.7%

Away to win by 112.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)11.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home11.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.9%

Away to win by 27.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.7%

Away to win by 3+6.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.581.6%

Home & Over 2.551.8%

Home & BTTS45.5%

Away & Over 2.525.0%

Away & BTTS23.3%

Draw & BTTS16.1%

Draw & Over 2.512.8%

Home & No BTTS10.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.5%

Away & No BTTS4.0%

Home & Under 2.53.8%

Draw & Under 2.53.8%

BTTS & Under 2.53.3%

Away & Under 2.52.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.0%

HT Over 1.569.3%

2nd Half More Goals50.3%

HT Both Teams Score47.8%

HT Home Win45.9%

HT/FT Home/Home37.6%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.530.7%

HT Away Win27.1%

HT Draw27.0%

Equal Goals Each Half17.3%

HT/FT Away/Away16.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.1%

HT Under 0.59.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.4%

HT/FT Away/Home5.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Away3.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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