USA · Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Oct 25

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

84% confidence

Philadelphia Union 84.3% Draw 8.8% New England Revolution 6.9%

Over 2.5 - 94% BTTS - 77%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

93%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

84%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-1 at 6.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Philadelphia Union: 16 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.4%

Exact-score model probability

Philadelphia Union

W W W W W D

Form 5-1-0 Goals 20:5 Scored/game 3.33 Conceded/game 0.83

New England Revolution

L W W L W D

Form 3-1-2 Goals 9:9 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 1

Philadelphia Union 0wins ·0 draws ·New England Revolution 1wins

Philadelphia Union 1-2 New England RevolutionMay 10, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Philadelphia Union win84.3%

Draw8.8%

New England Revolution win6.9%

Over 1.5 goals98.4%

Over 2.5 goals93.5%

Over 3.5 goals84.2%

Both teams to score77.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Over 1.5

89.9%

Over 2.5 Goals

89.8%

Both Halves Over 0.5

89.8%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home92.3%

Both Halves Over 0.589.8%

Goal in Both Halves89.8%

Home or Draw (1X)89.2%

Home or Away (12)87.9%

Home Win81.2%

Draw or Away (X2)14.8%

Draw8.0%

Draw No Bet - Away7.7%

Away Win6.8%

Exactly 1 Goal1.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.7%

Over 1.5 Goals94.2%

Over 2.5 Goals89.8%

Over 3.5 Goals80.9%

4+ Goals80.9%

Over 4.5 Goals67.5%

Over 5.5 Goals51.4%

Under 5.5 Goals48.6%

Total Goals Even48.0%

Total Goals Odd47.9%

Under 4.5 Goals32.5%

2-4 Goals26.8%

3-4 Goals22.3%

Under 3.5 Goals19.1%

1-3 Goals14.9%

2-3 Goals13.4%

Under 2.5 Goals10.2%

Exactly 3 Goals8.9%

1-2 Goals5.9%

Under 1.5 Goals5.8%

Exactly 2 Goals4.5%

Under 0.5 Goals4.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

Away Team to Score74.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)73.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)26.3%

Home Clean Sheet21.4%

Home Win to Nil21.2%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil0.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.589.9%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Over 0.574.6%

Away Over 1.542.4%

Away Exactly 132.1%

Away Exactly 224.1%

Away Exactly 021.4%

Away Over 2.518.3%

Away 3+ Goals18.3%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)89.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home89.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)84.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)81.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)74.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away74.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)68.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home68.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)59.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away59.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)52.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home52.8%

Home to win by 3+52.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)43.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away43.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)36.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home36.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)27.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away27.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)21.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home21.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.8%

Home to win by 215.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)14.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away14.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw14.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.5%

Home to win by 112.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)11.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home11.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw10.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)6.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw4.2%

Away to win by 14.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.8%

Away to win by 21.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.8%

Away to win by 3+0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.577.5%

BTTS & Over 2.572.0%

Home & BTTS60.0%

Home & No BTTS21.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.517.8%

Draw & BTTS7.8%

Draw & Over 2.56.1%

Away & Over 2.56.1%

Away & BTTS5.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.54.5%

Home & Under 2.53.6%

Draw & Under 2.51.9%

BTTS & Under 2.51.7%

Away & No BTTS0.9%

Away & Under 2.50.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.593.3%

HT Over 1.575.1%

HT Home Win69.1%

HT/FT Home/Home65.6%

2nd Half More Goals51.3%

HT Both Teams Score42.6%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.524.9%

HT Draw19.6%

Equal Goals Each Half16.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.4%

HT Away Win11.4%

HT Under 0.56.7%

HT/FT Away/Home5.1%

HT/FT Away/Away3.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.0%

HT/FT Home/Away0.9%

Corners (12)

Home Over 4.5 Corners86.5%

Over 8.5 Corners83.4%

Home Most Corners77.5%

Over 9.5 Corners74.3%

Over 10.5 Corners63.5%

Over 11.5 Corners51.9%

Under 11.5 Corners48.1%

Away Over 4.5 Corners44.4%

Under 10.5 Corners36.5%

Under 9.5 Corners25.7%

Under 8.5 Corners16.6%

Away Most Corners14.6%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards93.6%

Under 4.5 Cards84.9%

Under 3.5 Cards69.4%

Over 2.5 Cards52.9%

Under 2.5 Cards47.1%

Over 3.5 Cards30.6%

Over 4.5 Cards15.1%

Over 0.5 Red Cards11.2%

Over 5.5 Cards6.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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