USA · Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Sep 27

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

71% confidence

Philadelphia Union 71.3% Draw 12.3% Orlando City SC 16.4%

Over 2.5 - 97% BTTS - 90%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

90%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

88%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is Philadelphia Union win at 71.3%.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Philadelphia Union: 14 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 5.34 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Philadelphia Union win

71.3%

1X2 model probability

Draw

12.3%

1X2 model probability

Orlando City SC win

16.4%

1X2 model probability

Philadelphia Union

W W W W D D

Form 4-2-0 Goals 19:6 Scored/game 3.17 Conceded/game 1

Orlando City SC

W W W D W L

Form 4-1-1 Goals 13:8 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 1

Philadelphia Union 0wins ·1 draws ·Orlando City SC 0wins

Philadelphia Union 0-0 Orlando City SCMay 14, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Philadelphia Union win71.3%

Draw12.3%

Orlando City SC win16.4%

Over 1.5 goals99.3%

Over 2.5 goals96.7%

Over 3.5 goals91.1%

Both teams to score90.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Most Corners

90.5%

Home Over 1.5

89.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

89.6%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.593.4%

Goal in Both Halves93.4%

Home or Away (12)84.4%

Draw No Bet - Home81.2%

Home or Draw (1X)80.0%

Home Win68.5%

Draw or Away (X2)27.4%

Draw No Bet - Away18.8%

Away Win15.8%

Draw11.5%

Exactly 1 Goal0.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.8%

Over 1.5 Goals95.1%

Over 2.5 Goals92.7%

Over 3.5 Goals87.3%

4+ Goals87.3%

Over 4.5 Goals77.9%

Over 5.5 Goals64.8%

Total Goals Odd47.9%

Total Goals Even47.9%

Under 5.5 Goals35.2%

Under 4.5 Goals22.1%

2-4 Goals17.2%

3-4 Goals14.9%

Under 3.5 Goals12.7%

1-3 Goals8.5%

2-3 Goals7.8%

Under 2.5 Goals7.3%

Exactly 3 Goals5.4%

Under 1.5 Goals4.9%

Under 0.5 Goals4.2%

1-2 Goals3.0%

Exactly 2 Goals2.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.8%

Away Team to Score87.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)86.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)13.6%

Home Clean Sheet8.5%

Home Win to Nil8.4%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil1.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.8%

Home Over 1.589.8%

Away Over 0.587.4%

Home Over 2.578.5%

Home 3+ Goals78.5%

Away Over 1.566.8%

Away Over 2.541.8%

Away 3+ Goals41.8%

Away Exactly 225.0%

Away Exactly 120.6%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Away Exactly 08.5%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)89.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)87.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home87.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)82.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away82.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)80.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home80.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)71.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away71.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)68.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)57.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away57.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)54.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home54.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)41.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away41.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)38.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home38.7%

Home to win by 3+38.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)27.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away27.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)24.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home24.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)15.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.4%

Home to win by 215.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.5%

Home to win by 114.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)13.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home13.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw11.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.8%

Away to win by 17.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home6.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.5%

Away to win by 24.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.6%

Away to win by 3+3.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.585.3%

Home & Over 2.567.1%

Home & BTTS60.1%

Away & Over 2.515.3%

Away & BTTS14.8%

Draw & BTTS11.4%

Draw & Over 2.510.4%

Home & No BTTS8.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.52.1%

Home & Under 2.51.4%

Draw & Under 2.51.2%

BTTS & Under 2.51.1%

Away & No BTTS1.0%

Away & Under 2.50.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.595.5%

HT Over 1.581.7%

HT Home Win58.9%

HT Both Teams Score57.6%

HT/FT Home/Home52.7%

2nd Half More Goals52.6%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw21.2%

HT Away Win19.9%

HT Under 1.518.3%

Equal Goals Each Half15.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.2%

HT/FT Away/Away9.5%

HT/FT Away/Home6.6%

HT Under 0.54.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Away2.4%

Corners (12)

Home Most Corners90.5%

Under 11.5 Corners80.3%

Home Over 4.5 Corners79.4%

Under 10.5 Corners70.6%

Under 9.5 Corners58.7%

Over 8.5 Corners54.4%

Under 8.5 Corners45.6%

Over 9.5 Corners41.3%

Over 10.5 Corners29.4%

Over 11.5 Corners19.7%

Away Over 4.5 Corners8.8%

Away Most Corners4.7%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards85.8%

Under 4.5 Cards72.5%

Over 2.5 Cards67.9%

Under 3.5 Cards53.7%

Over 3.5 Cards46.3%

Under 2.5 Cards32.1%

Over 4.5 Cards27.5%

Over 5.5 Cards14.2%

Over 0.5 Red Cards14.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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