Spain · Copa del Rey

Pinatar vs Elche

Kick-off 19:00 · Tue, Oct 27

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

39% confidence

Pinatar 35.2% Draw 25.4% Elche 39.4%

Over 2.5 - 65% BTTS - 67%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

75%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

67%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 9.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.9%

Exact-score model probability

Pinatar

No recent results stored yet

Elche

W D D W L D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 9:5 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Pinatar win35.2%

Draw25.4%

Elche win39.4%

Over 1.5 goals85.8%

Over 2.5 goals64.8%

Over 3.5 goals42.7%

Both teams to score67.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

91.1%

Under 5.5 Goals

87.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.1%

Both Halves Over 0.565.3%

Goal in Both Halves65.3%

Draw or Away (X2)63.5%

Home or Draw (1X)59.4%

Draw No Bet - Away52.6%

Draw No Bet - Home47.4%

Away Win40.6%

Home Win36.5%

Draw22.9%

Exactly 1 Goal11.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.4%

Under 5.5 Goals87.9%

Over 1.5 Goals84.5%

Under 4.5 Goals75.6%

Over 2.5 Goals64.7%

2-4 Goals60.2%

Under 3.5 Goals57.3%

1-3 Goals53.7%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals42.7%

4+ Goals42.7%

2-3 Goals41.8%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals35.3%

1-2 Goals31.7%

Over 4.5 Goals24.4%

Exactly 3 Goals22.0%

Exactly 2 Goals19.8%

Under 1.5 Goals15.5%

Over 5.5 Goals12.1%

Under 0.5 Goals3.6%

Exactly 0 Goals3.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score82.0%

Home Team to Score80.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)65.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)34.2%

Away Clean Sheet19.8%

Home Clean Sheet18.0%

Away Win to Nil16.2%

Home Win to Nil14.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.582.0%

Home Over 0.580.2%

Away Over 1.551.2%

Home Over 1.548.1%

Home Exactly 132.1%

Away Exactly 130.8%

Away Exactly 226.5%

Home Exactly 226.0%

Away Over 2.524.7%

Away 3+ Goals24.7%

Home Over 2.522.1%

Home 3+ Goals22.1%

Home Exactly 019.8%

Away Exactly 018.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)81.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away81.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)79.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home79.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)63.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away63.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)59.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home59.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)40.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)36.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)21.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away21.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.6%

Away to win by 119.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.5%

Home to win by 118.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)18.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home18.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.1%

Away to win by 212.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.8%

Home to win by 210.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.9%

Away to win by 3+8.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.3%

Home to win by 3+7.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.555.9%

Away & Over 2.529.2%

Home & Over 2.526.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.525.4%

Away & BTTS24.3%

Home & BTTS22.1%

Draw & BTTS19.3%

Away & No BTTS16.2%

Home & No BTTS14.4%

Draw & Under 2.513.5%

Away & Under 2.511.4%

Home & Under 2.510.4%

BTTS & Under 2.59.9%

Draw & Over 2.59.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.577.7%

HT Under 1.555.8%

2nd Half More Goals45.7%

HT Over 1.544.2%

HT Draw36.7%

HT Away Win32.9%

1st Half More Goals31.7%

HT Home Win30.4%

HT Both Teams Score27.8%

HT/FT Away/Away24.7%

Equal Goals Each Half22.6%

HT Under 0.522.3%

HT/FT Home/Home21.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away3.0%

HT/FT Away/Home2.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions