Italy · Serie B

Pisa vs Catanzaro

Kick-off 20:00 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

70% confidence

Pisa 14.8% Draw 15.1% Catanzaro 70.1%

Over 2.5 - 87% BTTS - 78%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

85%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 7.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Catanzaro: 0 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.1%

Exact-score model probability

Pisa

L L L L L L

Form 0-0-6 Goals 3:13 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 2.17

Catanzaro

L L W W L L

Form 2-0-4 Goals 10:10 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Pisa win14.8%

Draw15.1%

Catanzaro win70.1%

Over 1.5 goals96.2%

Over 2.5 goals86.9%

Over 3.5 goals72.5%

Both teams to score77.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

89.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home

89.5%

HT Over 0.5

89.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)85.2%

Draw or Away (X2)84.1%

Both Halves Over 0.583.3%

Goal in Both Halves83.3%

Draw No Bet - Away82.2%

Away Win70.1%

Home or Draw (1X)29.2%

Draw No Bet - Home17.8%

Home Win15.2%

Draw14.0%

Exactly 1 Goal3.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals95.0%

Over 2.5 Goals86.3%

Over 3.5 Goals71.9%

4+ Goals71.9%

Under 5.5 Goals63.3%

Over 4.5 Goals54.2%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Under 4.5 Goals45.8%

2-4 Goals40.8%

Over 5.5 Goals36.7%

3-4 Goals32.1%

Under 3.5 Goals28.1%

1-3 Goals26.6%

2-3 Goals23.1%

Exactly 3 Goals14.4%

Under 2.5 Goals13.7%

1-2 Goals12.2%

Exactly 2 Goals8.7%

Under 1.5 Goals5.0%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.7%

Home Team to Score79.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)76.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)23.4%

Away Clean Sheet19.8%

Away Win to Nil19.1%

Home Clean Sheet3.6%

Home Win to Nil2.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.7%

Away Over 1.583.8%

Home Over 0.579.4%

Away Over 2.564.0%

Away 3+ Goals64.0%

Home Over 1.547.5%

Home Exactly 131.9%

Home Exactly 225.7%

Home Over 2.521.8%

Home 3+ Goals21.8%

Home Exactly 019.8%

Away Exactly 219.8%

Away Exactly 111.9%

Away Exactly 03.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)92.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away92.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)89.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home89.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)84.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away84.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)79.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home79.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)70.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)65.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home65.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)52.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away52.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)47.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home47.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)34.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away34.3%

Away to win by 3+34.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)29.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home29.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)19.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away19.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.9%

Away to win by 217.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.8%

Away to win by 117.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)15.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw14.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw9.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)9.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away9.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.6%

Home to win by 18.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home6.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.2%

Home to win by 24.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away4.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.4%

Home to win by 3+2.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.572.7%

Away & Over 2.563.7%

Away & BTTS50.9%

Away & No BTTS19.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.6%

Draw & BTTS13.3%

Home & Over 2.513.1%

Home & BTTS12.3%

Draw & Over 2.59.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.1%

Away & Under 2.56.3%

Draw & Under 2.54.5%

BTTS & Under 2.53.8%

Home & No BTTS2.9%

Home & Under 2.52.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.2%

HT Over 1.565.1%

HT Away Win55.8%

HT/FT Away/Away49.9%

2nd Half More Goals49.5%

HT Both Teams Score40.0%

HT Under 1.534.9%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw26.2%

Equal Goals Each Half18.1%

HT Home Win18.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.6%

HT Under 0.510.8%

HT/FT Home/Home8.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.9%

HT/FT Home/Away5.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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