Italy · Serie B

Pisa vs Cremonese

Kick-off 18:30 · Sat, Oct 17

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

46% confidence

Pisa 28.2% Draw 26.3% Cremonese 45.5%

Over 2.5 - 59% BTTS - 62%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

82%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

62%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Cremonese: 0 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.6%

Exact-score model probability

Pisa

L L L L L L

Form 0-0-6 Goals 3:13 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 2.17

Cremonese

L W W L L D

Form 2-1-3 Goals 6:10 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 2

Pisa 1wins ·0 draws ·Cremonese 1wins

Pisa 0-3 CremoneseMay 10, 2026

Pisa 1-0 CremoneseNov 7, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Pisa win28.2%

Draw26.3%

Cremonese win45.5%

Over 1.5 goals82.4%

Over 2.5 goals59.1%

Over 3.5 goals36.7%

Both teams to score62.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

91.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

91.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

88.2%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)76.1%

Home or Away (12)75.5%

Draw No Bet - Away68.3%

Both Halves Over 0.554.2%

Goal in Both Halves54.2%

Away Win51.6%

Home or Draw (1X)48.4%

Draw No Bet - Home31.7%

Draw24.5%

Home Win23.9%

Exactly 1 Goal18.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals94.4%

Over 0.5 Goals93.2%

Under 4.5 Goals86.4%

Over 1.5 Goals75.0%

Under 3.5 Goals71.6%

1-3 Goals64.8%

2-4 Goals61.4%

Over 2.5 Goals50.4%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals49.6%

2-3 Goals46.6%

1-2 Goals42.8%

3-4 Goals36.8%

Over 3.5 Goals28.4%

4+ Goals28.4%

Under 1.5 Goals25.0%

Exactly 2 Goals24.6%

Exactly 3 Goals22.0%

Over 4.5 Goals13.6%

Under 0.5 Goals6.8%

Exactly 0 Goals6.8%

Over 5.5 Goals5.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score80.8%

Home Team to Score64.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)52.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)47.7%

Away Clean Sheet35.3%

Away Win to Nil28.5%

Home Clean Sheet19.2%

Home Win to Nil12.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.580.8%

Home Over 0.564.7%

Away Over 1.549.1%

Home Exactly 136.8%

Home Exactly 035.3%

Away Exactly 131.7%

Home Over 1.527.9%

Away Exactly 226.1%

Away Over 2.523.0%

Away 3+ Goals23.0%

Away Exactly 019.2%

Home Exactly 219.1%

Home Over 2.58.8%

Home 3+ Goals8.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away91.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)88.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home88.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)76.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away76.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)72.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home72.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)51.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)48.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home48.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)27.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away27.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw24.0%

Away to win by 124.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)23.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.8%

Away to win by 215.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.1%

Home to win by 115.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away11.8%

Away to win by 3+11.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.3%

Home to win by 26.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.5%

Home to win by 3+2.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.540.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.537.9%

Away & Over 2.531.2%

Away & No BTTS28.5%

Away & BTTS23.1%

Away & Under 2.520.4%

Draw & Under 2.518.4%

Draw & BTTS17.7%

Home & Over 2.513.2%

Home & No BTTS12.4%

BTTS & Under 2.511.6%

Home & BTTS11.5%

Home & Under 2.510.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.8%

Draw & Over 2.56.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.570.2%

HT Under 1.565.9%

2nd Half More Goals43.4%

HT Draw41.1%

HT Away Win38.1%

HT Over 1.534.1%

HT/FT Away/Away31.8%

1st Half More Goals31.0%

HT Under 0.529.8%

Equal Goals Each Half25.6%

HT Home Win20.8%

HT Both Teams Score19.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.9%

HT/FT Home/Home13.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away2.7%

HT/FT Away/Home1.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions