Italy · Serie B

Pisa vs Padova

Kick-off 18:00 · Sun, Aug 23

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

85% confidence

Pisa 6.4% Draw 8.6% Padova 85.0%

Over 2.5 - 93% BTTS - 76%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

93%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-4 at 6.5%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-4

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.5%

Exact-score model probability

Pisa

L L L L L L

Form 0-0-6 Goals 3:13 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 2.17

Padova

W W

Form 2-0-0 Goals 5:3 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Pisa win6.4%

Draw8.6%

Padova win85.0%

Over 1.5 goals98.3%

Over 2.5 goals93.3%

Over 3.5 goals83.8%

Both teams to score75.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Over 1.5

89.9%

Draw or Away (X2)

89.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

89.6%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Away92.8%

Draw or Away (X2)89.6%

Both Halves Over 0.589.6%

Goal in Both Halves89.6%

Home or Away (12)88.2%

Away Win81.8%

Home or Draw (1X)14.2%

Draw7.8%

Draw No Bet - Home7.2%

Home Win6.4%

Exactly 1 Goal1.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.7%

Over 1.5 Goals94.2%

Over 2.5 Goals89.5%

Over 3.5 Goals80.4%

4+ Goals80.4%

Over 4.5 Goals66.8%

Over 5.5 Goals50.6%

Under 5.5 Goals49.4%

Total Goals Even48.0%

Total Goals Odd47.9%

Under 4.5 Goals33.2%

2-4 Goals27.4%

3-4 Goals22.8%

Under 3.5 Goals19.6%

1-3 Goals15.3%

2-3 Goals13.8%

Under 2.5 Goals10.5%

Exactly 3 Goals9.2%

1-2 Goals6.2%

Under 1.5 Goals5.8%

Exactly 2 Goals4.6%

Under 0.5 Goals4.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.9%

Home Team to Score73.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)72.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)27.4%

Away Clean Sheet22.5%

Away Win to Nil22.3%

Home Clean Sheet1.1%

Home Win to Nil0.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.9%

Away Over 1.589.9%

Away Over 2.578.6%

Away 3+ Goals78.6%

Home Over 0.573.4%

Home Over 1.540.8%

Home Exactly 132.7%

Home Exactly 223.7%

Home Exactly 022.5%

Home Over 2.517.1%

Home 3+ Goals17.1%

Away Exactly 211.2%

Away Exactly 15.0%

Away Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)93.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away93.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)89.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away89.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)84.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)81.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)73.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home73.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)69.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away69.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)58.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home58.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)53.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away53.7%

Away to win by 3+53.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)42.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home42.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)37.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away37.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)26.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home26.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)22.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away22.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw16.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.8%

Away to win by 215.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw14.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)14.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home14.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.3%

Away to win by 112.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)11.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away11.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw11.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)6.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw4.0%

Home to win by 14.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home2.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.6%

Home to win by 21.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.8%

Home to win by 3+0.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.578.0%

BTTS & Over 2.570.9%

Away & BTTS59.5%

Away & No BTTS22.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.518.7%

Draw & BTTS7.6%

Draw & Over 2.55.9%

Home & Over 2.55.7%

Home & BTTS5.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.54.7%

Away & Under 2.53.8%

Draw & Under 2.52.0%

BTTS & Under 2.51.7%

Home & No BTTS0.9%

Home & Under 2.50.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.593.1%

HT Over 1.574.7%

HT Away Win69.6%

HT/FT Away/Away66.3%

2nd Half More Goals51.2%

HT Both Teams Score41.6%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.525.3%

HT Draw19.4%

Equal Goals Each Half16.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.4%

HT Home Win10.9%

HT Under 0.56.9%

HT/FT Home/Away5.0%

HT/FT Home/Home3.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home1.9%

HT/FT Away/Home0.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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