Italy · Serie B

Pisa vs Sudtirol

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Nov 7

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

49% confidence

Pisa 24.7% Draw 49.4% Sudtirol 25.9%

Over 2.5 - 8% BTTS - 16%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

84%

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-0 at 37.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Sudtirol: 0 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 0.75 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

37.4%

Exact-score model probability

Pisa

L L L L L L

Form 0-0-6 Goals 3:13 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 2.17

Sudtirol

D D D L

Form 0-3-1 Goals 1:2 Scored/game 0.25 Conceded/game 0.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Pisa win24.7%

Draw49.4%

Sudtirol win25.9%

Over 1.5 goals27.0%

Over 2.5 goals7.7%

Over 3.5 goals1.8%

Both teams to score16.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

No Both Teams Score (NG)

84.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.5

83.2%

Under 1.5 Goals

74.2%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)74.1%

Home or Draw (1X)72.9%

Home or Away (12)53.0%

Draw No Bet - Away51.1%

Draw No Bet - Home48.9%

Draw47.0%

Exactly 1 Goal36.8%

Away Win27.1%

Home Win25.9%

Both Halves Over 0.514.9%

Goal in Both Halves14.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.9%

Under 4.5 Goals99.7%

Under 3.5 Goals98.2%

Under 2.5 Goals92.3%

Under 1.5 Goals74.2%

Over 0.5 Goals62.6%

1-3 Goals60.8%

Total Goals Even57.0%

1-2 Goals54.9%

Total Goals Odd43.0%

Under 0.5 Goals37.4%

Exactly 0 Goals37.4%

Over 1.5 Goals25.8%

2-4 Goals25.5%

2-3 Goals24.0%

Exactly 2 Goals18.1%

Over 2.5 Goals7.7%

3-4 Goals7.4%

Exactly 3 Goals5.9%

Over 3.5 Goals1.8%

4+ Goals1.8%

Over 4.5 Goals0.3%

Over 5.5 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)84.9%

Away Clean Sheet61.7%

Home Clean Sheet60.7%

Away Team to Score39.3%

Home Team to Score38.3%

Away Win to Nil24.3%

Home Win to Nil23.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)15.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Exactly 061.7%

Away Exactly 060.7%

Away Over 0.539.3%

Home Over 0.538.3%

Away Exactly 130.3%

Home Exactly 129.8%

Away Over 1.59.0%

Home Over 1.58.5%

Away Exactly 27.6%

Home Exactly 27.2%

Away Over 2.51.4%

Away 3+ Goals1.4%

Home Over 2.51.3%

Home 3+ Goals1.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away94.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)74.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away74.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)72.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home72.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)27.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)25.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.1%

Away to win by 121.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.3%

Home to win by 120.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home5.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.1%

Away to win by 25.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.7%

Home to win by 24.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.9%

Away to win by 3+0.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%

Home to win by 3+0.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.583.2%

Draw & Under 2.546.5%

Away & No BTTS24.3%

Away & Under 2.523.4%

Home & No BTTS23.2%

Home & Under 2.522.4%

Draw & BTTS9.6%

BTTS & Under 2.59.0%

BTTS & Over 2.56.0%

Away & Over 2.53.7%

Home & Over 2.53.5%

Away & BTTS2.8%

Home & BTTS2.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.51.7%

Draw & Over 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.592.7%

HT Draw67.4%

HT Under 0.564.3%

Equal Goals Each Half46.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw42.2%

HT Over 0.535.7%

2nd Half More Goals29.9%

1st Half More Goals23.2%

HT Away Win16.6%

HT Home Win16.0%

HT/FT Away/Away13.8%

HT/FT Home/Home13.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.4%

HT Over 1.57.3%

HT Both Teams Score3.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.4%

HT/FT Home/Away0.4%

HT/FT Away/Home0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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