England · League Cup

Plymouth vs Coventry

Kick-off 19:45 · Tue, Aug 25

📊 Our Prediction

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91% confidence

Plymouth 91.4% Draw 7.1% Coventry 1.5%

Over 2.5 - 74% BTTS - 32%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

91%

Draw No Bet - Home

DNB home — draw refunds stake

91%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 14.6%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Numbers behind this Home +2.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14.6%

Exact-score model probability

Plymouth

Form 1-0-0 Goals 2:0 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 0

Coventry

L W

Form 1-0-1 Goals 4:3 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Plymouth win91.4%

Draw7.1%

Coventry win1.5%

Over 1.5 goals90.0%

Over 2.5 goals73.7%

Over 3.5 goals53.2%

Both teams to score32.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Win

91.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)

91.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

89.1%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home98.0%

Home or Draw (1X)97.2%

Home or Away (12)92.8%

Home Win91.0%

Both Halves Over 0.572.4%

Goal in Both Halves72.4%

Exactly 1 Goal8.2%

Draw or Away (X2)8.1%

Draw6.2%

Draw No Bet - Away2.0%

Away Win1.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.0%

Over 1.5 Goals88.8%

Under 5.5 Goals81.7%

Over 2.5 Goals73.0%

Under 4.5 Goals66.7%

2-4 Goals55.5%

Over 3.5 Goals52.8%

4+ Goals52.8%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

Under 3.5 Goals47.2%

1-3 Goals44.2%

3-4 Goals39.7%

2-3 Goals36.0%

Over 4.5 Goals33.3%

Under 2.5 Goals27.0%

1-2 Goals24.0%

Exactly 3 Goals20.2%

Over 5.5 Goals18.3%

Exactly 2 Goals15.8%

Under 1.5 Goals11.2%

Under 0.5 Goals3.0%

Exactly 0 Goals2.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)68.4%

Home Clean Sheet66.4%

Home Win to Nil64.3%

Away Team to Score32.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)31.6%

Away Clean Sheet3.2%

Away Win to Nil1.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.9%

Home Over 1.585.0%

Away Exactly 066.4%

Home Over 2.566.1%

Home 3+ Goals66.1%

Away Over 0.532.7%

Away Exactly 126.6%

Home Exactly 218.9%

Home Exactly 111.0%

Away Over 1.56.1%

Away Exactly 25.3%

Home Exactly 03.2%

Away Over 2.50.8%

Away 3+ Goals0.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home98.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home97.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)91.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)89.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)78.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away78.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)77.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home77.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)61.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away61.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)57.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home57.7%

Home to win by 3+57.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)41.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away41.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)37.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home37.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)21.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away21.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)20.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home20.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw20.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.6%

Home to win by 219.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw16.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.7%

Home to win by 113.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw10.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)10.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home10.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)8.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away8.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw1.6%

Away to win by 11.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.3%

Away to win by 20.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Away to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.571.0%

Home & No BTTS64.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.544.3%

BTTS & Over 2.528.7%

Home & BTTS26.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.523.2%

Home & Under 2.520.0%

Draw & Under 2.55.1%

Draw & BTTS4.1%

BTTS & Under 2.52.9%

Draw & Over 2.51.2%

Away & Under 2.51.0%

Away & No BTTS1.0%

Away & Over 2.50.9%

Away & BTTS0.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.3%

HT Home Win73.0%

HT/FT Home/Home71.8%

HT Over 1.551.7%

HT Under 1.548.3%

2nd Half More Goals47.1%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw23.0%

Equal Goals Each Half20.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.1%

HT Under 0.517.7%

HT Both Teams Score13.0%

HT Away Win4.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Away/Home1.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.1%

HT/FT Away/Away0.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away0.8%

HT/FT Home/Away0.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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