UEFA Europa League

Plzen vs Levski Sofia

Kick-off 20:00 · Thu, Oct 22

📊 Our Prediction

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

92% confidence

Plzen 1.1% Draw 6.9% Levski Sofia 92.0%

Over 2.5 - 70% BTTS - 25%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

92%

Draw No Bet - Away

DNB away — draw refunds stake

92%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-3 at 16.4%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Numbers behind this Away +2.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

16.4%

Exact-score model probability

Plzen

Form 0-0-1 Goals 0:3 Scored/game 0 Conceded/game 3

Levski Sofia

L D W W D W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 5:6 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Plzen win1.1%

Draw6.9%

Levski Sofia win92.0%

Over 1.5 goals87.7%

Over 2.5 goals69.5%

Over 3.5 goals48.1%

Both teams to score25.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Win

91.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

90.1%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Away98.4%

Draw or Away (X2)97.8%

Home or Away (12)93.1%

Away Win91.6%

Both Halves Over 0.569.1%

Goal in Both Halves69.1%

Exactly 1 Goal9.8%

Home or Draw (1X)7.7%

Draw6.2%

Draw No Bet - Home1.6%

Home Win1.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.6%

Over 1.5 Goals86.7%

Under 5.5 Goals85.1%

Under 4.5 Goals71.3%

Over 2.5 Goals69.0%

2-4 Goals58.1%

Under 3.5 Goals52.2%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

1-3 Goals48.8%

Over 3.5 Goals47.8%

4+ Goals47.8%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals39.0%

Under 2.5 Goals31.0%

Over 4.5 Goals28.7%

1-2 Goals27.5%

Exactly 3 Goals21.2%

Exactly 2 Goals17.7%

Over 5.5 Goals14.9%

Under 1.5 Goals13.3%

Under 0.5 Goals3.4%

Exactly 0 Goals2.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)75.2%

Away Clean Sheet73.6%

Away Win to Nil70.8%

Home Team to Score25.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)24.8%

Home Clean Sheet3.7%

Home Win to Nil1.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.6%

Away Over 1.583.4%

Home Exactly 073.6%

Away Over 2.563.4%

Away 3+ Goals63.4%

Home Over 0.525.7%

Home Exactly 122.1%

Away Exactly 220.1%

Away Exactly 112.2%

Home Over 1.53.7%

Away Exactly 03.7%

Home Exactly 23.3%

Home Over 2.50.4%

Home 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away99.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away97.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)91.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)90.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)79.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home79.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)77.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away77.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)63.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home63.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)56.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away56.9%

Away to win by 3+56.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)42.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home42.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)36.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away36.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)21.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home21.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw20.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw20.4%

Away to win by 220.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)19.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away19.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw16.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.3%

Away to win by 114.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw10.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)9.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away9.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)7.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home7.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw1.3%

Home to win by 11.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.2%

Home to win by 20.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Home to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & No BTTS70.8%

Away & Over 2.567.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.547.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.527.6%

Away & Under 2.523.9%

BTTS & Over 2.522.1%

Away & BTTS20.8%

Draw & Under 2.55.4%

Draw & BTTS3.5%

BTTS & Under 2.52.7%

Home & No BTTS1.0%

Home & Under 2.50.9%

Draw & Over 2.50.7%

Home & Over 2.50.5%

Home & BTTS0.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.2%

HT Away Win72.9%

HT/FT Away/Away71.9%

HT Under 1.551.9%

HT Over 1.548.1%

2nd Half More Goals46.4%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Draw24.0%

Equal Goals Each Half21.6%

HT Under 0.519.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.9%

HT Both Teams Score9.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.4%

HT Home Win3.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw0.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw0.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home0.7%

HT/FT Home/Home0.7%

HT/FT Away/Home0.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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