South-Korea · K League 1

Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul

Kick-off 11:00 · Sun, Sep 20

📊 Our Prediction

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

93% confidence

Pohang Steelers 1.2% Draw 5.4% FC Seoul 93.4%

Over 2.5 - 81% BTTS - 36%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 73%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

93%

Draw No Bet - Away

DNB away — draw refunds stake

93%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-3 at 12.6%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to FC Seoul: 5 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.6%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

73%

Market does not fully agree

Pohang Steelers

D D L W L L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 4:8 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.33

FC Seoul

W L W W W D

Form 4-1-1 Goals 18:6 Scored/game 3 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 1

Pohang Steelers 0wins ·0 draws ·FC Seoul 1wins

Pohang Steelers 1-3 FC SeoulJul 22, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Pohang Steelers win1.2%

Draw5.4%

FC Seoul win93.4%

Over 1.5 goals93.4%

Over 2.5 goals80.9%

Over 3.5 goals63.1%

Both teams to score36.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Win

91.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

Over 1.5 Goals

91.4%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Away98.4%

Draw or Away (X2)96.6%

Home or Away (12)93.4%

Away Win91.9%

Both Halves Over 0.578.4%

Goal in Both Halves78.4%

Home or Draw (1X)6.2%

Exactly 1 Goal5.5%

Draw4.7%

Draw No Bet - Home1.6%

Home Win1.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.8%

Over 1.5 Goals91.4%

Over 2.5 Goals79.4%

Under 5.5 Goals74.2%

Over 3.5 Goals61.8%

4+ Goals61.8%

Under 4.5 Goals57.4%

Total Goals Even49.2%

Total Goals Odd48.9%

2-4 Goals48.7%

Over 4.5 Goals42.6%

Under 3.5 Goals38.2%

3-4 Goals36.7%

1-3 Goals35.0%

2-3 Goals29.5%

Over 5.5 Goals25.8%

Under 2.5 Goals20.6%

Exactly 3 Goals17.5%

1-2 Goals17.5%

Exactly 2 Goals12.0%

Under 1.5 Goals8.6%

Under 0.5 Goals3.2%

Exactly 0 Goals1.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score96.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)64.9%

Away Clean Sheet62.2%

Away Win to Nil61.0%

Home Team to Score35.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)35.1%

Home Clean Sheet2.0%

Home Win to Nil0.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.596.1%

Away Over 1.588.4%

Away Over 2.573.2%

Away 3+ Goals73.2%

Home Exactly 062.2%

Home Over 0.535.8%

Home Exactly 128.3%

Away Exactly 215.2%

Away Exactly 17.7%

Home Over 1.57.5%

Home Exactly 26.4%

Away Exactly 02.0%

Home Over 2.51.1%

Home 3+ Goals1.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away97.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away96.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)91.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)83.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)81.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away81.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)70.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home70.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)64.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away64.2%

Away to win by 3+64.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)53.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home53.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)44.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away44.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)33.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home33.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)27.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away27.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw19.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw17.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)17.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home17.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.8%

Away to win by 216.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)14.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away14.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw13.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.8%

Away to win by 110.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home6.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw1.3%

Home to win by 11.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.2%

Home to win by 20.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Home to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.577.3%

Away & No BTTS61.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.546.5%

BTTS & Over 2.532.9%

Away & BTTS30.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.516.5%

Away & Under 2.514.5%

Draw & Under 2.53.5%

Draw & BTTS3.4%

BTTS & Under 2.52.2%

Draw & Over 2.51.2%

Home & Over 2.50.8%

Home & BTTS0.8%

Home & Under 2.50.7%

Home & No BTTS0.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.1%

HT Away Win76.8%

HT/FT Away/Away75.7%

HT Over 1.558.6%

2nd Half More Goals48.4%

HT Under 1.541.4%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw19.4%

Equal Goals Each Half19.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away16.0%

HT Both Teams Score15.4%

HT Under 0.513.9%

HT Home Win3.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw2.8%

HT/FT Home/Away2.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw0.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw0.9%

HT/FT Home/Home0.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home0.6%

HT/FT Away/Home0.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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