South-Korea · K League 1

Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Kick-off 11:30 · Sat, Aug 1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

59% confidence

Pohang Steelers 58.8% Draw 20.6% Gimcheon Sangmu FC 20.6%

Over 2.5 - 75% BTTS - 71%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

AI verdict (fallback)

🤝 Bookmakers agree - bookies say 71%

⚠️ AIs disagree

61%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.8%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.8%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

71%

Market agrees with this pick

Pohang Steelers

L L L W W L

Form 2-0-4 Goals 8:11 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.83

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

W D L D D L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Pohang Steelers win58.8%

Draw20.6%

Gimcheon Sangmu FC win20.6%

Over 1.5 goals90.9%

Over 2.5 goals74.5%

Over 3.5 goals54.5%

Both teams to score70.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.3%

Home Over 0.5

91.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.2%

Home or Draw (1X)78.4%

Draw No Bet - Home73.5%

Both Halves Over 0.572.9%

Goal in Both Halves72.9%

Home Win59.7%

Draw or Away (X2)40.2%

Draw No Bet - Away26.5%

Away Win21.5%

Draw18.7%

Exactly 1 Goal7.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals89.9%

Under 5.5 Goals80.3%

Over 2.5 Goals74.5%

Under 4.5 Goals65.1%

2-4 Goals55.0%

Over 3.5 Goals54.4%

4+ Goals54.4%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals45.6%

1-3 Goals43.4%

3-4 Goals39.6%

2-3 Goals35.5%

Over 4.5 Goals34.9%

Under 2.5 Goals25.5%

1-2 Goals23.4%

Exactly 3 Goals20.0%

Over 5.5 Goals19.7%

Exactly 2 Goals15.5%

Under 1.5 Goals10.1%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals2.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.3%

Away Team to Score76.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)69.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)30.3%

Home Clean Sheet23.7%

Home Win to Nil21.6%

Away Clean Sheet8.6%

Away Win to Nil6.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.3%

Away Over 0.576.2%

Home Over 1.570.2%

Home Over 2.544.3%

Home 3+ Goals44.3%

Away Over 1.542.1%

Away Exactly 134.1%

Home Exactly 225.9%

Away Exactly 224.5%

Away Exactly 023.7%

Home Exactly 121.1%

Away Over 2.517.6%

Away 3+ Goals17.6%

Home Exactly 08.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)89.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away89.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)78.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away78.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)78.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home78.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)61.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away61.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)59.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)40.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away40.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)38.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home38.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)21.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)21.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home21.4%

Home to win by 3+21.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.9%

Home to win by 120.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.4%

Home to win by 217.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.3%

Away to win by 112.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)10.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home10.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.0%

Away to win by 26.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.2%

Away to win by 3+3.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.562.5%

Home & Over 2.548.5%

Home & BTTS38.0%

Home & No BTTS21.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.518.2%

Draw & BTTS16.7%

Away & Over 2.516.5%

Away & BTTS14.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.0%

Home & Under 2.511.1%

Draw & Over 2.59.5%

Draw & Under 2.59.2%

BTTS & Under 2.57.2%

Away & No BTTS6.6%

Away & Under 2.55.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.6%

HT Over 1.552.3%

HT Under 1.547.7%

2nd Half More Goals47.2%

HT Home Win46.4%

HT/FT Home/Home39.5%

HT Draw32.2%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Both Teams Score31.9%

HT Away Win21.5%

Equal Goals Each Half20.7%

HT Under 0.517.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.1%

HT/FT Away/Away12.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away2.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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