South-Korea · K League 1

Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Kick-off 11:30 · Wed, Sep 9

📊 Our Prediction

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

Pohang Steelers 11.3% Draw 36.2% Gimcheon Sangmu FC 52.5%

Over 2.5 - 18% BTTS - 22%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

89%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 25.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Gimcheon Sangmu FC: 4 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.16 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

25.4%

Exact-score model probability

Pohang Steelers

D L W L L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 2:8 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

D D D D W W

Form 2-4-0 Goals 5:3 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 0.5

Head to head · last 1

Pohang Steelers 0wins ·0 draws ·Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1wins

Pohang Steelers 0-1 Gimcheon Sangmu FCAug 1, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Pohang Steelers win11.3%

Draw36.2%

Gimcheon Sangmu FC win52.5%

Over 1.5 goals43.7%

Over 2.5 goals17.8%

Over 3.5 goals5.9%

Both teams to score21.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw or Away (X2)

87.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

87.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away

87.5%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)87.5%

Draw No Bet - Away81.1%

Home or Away (12)66.2%

Away Win53.6%

Home or Draw (1X)46.4%

Exactly 1 Goal34.0%

Draw33.8%

Both Halves Over 0.526.3%

Goal in Both Halves26.3%

Draw No Bet - Home18.9%

Home Win12.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.6%

Under 4.5 Goals98.4%

Under 3.5 Goals94.1%

Under 2.5 Goals82.2%

Over 0.5 Goals76.5%

1-3 Goals70.6%

1-2 Goals58.7%

Under 1.5 Goals57.5%

Total Goals Even52.8%

Total Goals Odd47.2%

Over 1.5 Goals42.5%

2-4 Goals40.8%

2-3 Goals36.5%

Exactly 2 Goals24.6%

Under 0.5 Goals23.5%

Exactly 0 Goals23.5%

Over 2.5 Goals17.8%

3-4 Goals16.2%

Exactly 3 Goals11.9%

Over 3.5 Goals5.9%

4+ Goals5.9%

Over 4.5 Goals1.6%

Over 5.5 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)79.7%

Away Clean Sheet69.2%

Away Team to Score66.0%

Away Win to Nil45.7%

Home Clean Sheet34.0%

Home Team to Score30.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)20.3%

Home Win to Nil10.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Exactly 069.2%

Away Over 0.566.0%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Away Exactly 034.0%

Home Over 0.530.8%

Away Over 1.529.4%

Home Exactly 125.5%

Away Exactly 219.8%

Away Over 2.59.6%

Away 3+ Goals9.6%

Home Over 1.55.3%

Home Exactly 24.7%

Home Over 2.50.6%

Home 3+ Goals0.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away98.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)87.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away87.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)77.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home77.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)53.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)46.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home46.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw30.8%

Away to win by 130.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)22.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away22.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.6%

Away to win by 215.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)12.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.5%

Home to win by 110.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.3%

Away to win by 3+7.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home2.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.8%

Home to win by 21.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.2%

Home to win by 3+0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.572.8%

Away & No BTTS45.7%

Away & Under 2.539.1%

Draw & Under 2.532.8%

Away & Over 2.514.6%

BTTS & Over 2.511.0%

Home & No BTTS10.5%

Draw & BTTS10.3%

Home & Under 2.510.2%

BTTS & Under 2.59.3%

Away & BTTS7.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.8%

Home & Over 2.52.3%

Home & BTTS2.1%

Draw & Over 2.51.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.586.1%

HT Draw56.4%

HT Under 0.552.1%

HT Over 0.547.9%

Equal Goals Each Half37.4%

2nd Half More Goals35.6%

HT Away Win33.8%

HT/FT Away/Away30.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw28.6%

1st Half More Goals27.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away21.8%

HT Over 1.513.9%

HT Home Win9.8%

HT/FT Home/Home6.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.0%

HT Both Teams Score5.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Home/Away0.9%

HT/FT Away/Home0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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