USA · Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers vs Charlotte

Full time · 3:2

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

65% confidence

Portland Timbers 21.1% Draw 14.4% Charlotte 64.5%

Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 90%

✓ Pick was correct (3:2)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

90%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 5.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Charlotte: 2 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.2%

Exact-score model probability

Portland Timbers

D L D L L L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 4:10 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.67

Charlotte

D W D W W D

Form 3-3-0 Goals 13:8 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Portland Timbers win21.1%

Draw14.4%

Charlotte win64.5%

Over 1.5 goals98.9%

Over 2.5 goals95.2%

Over 3.5 goals87.6%

Both teams to score89.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5

91.5%

Goal in Both Halves

91.5%

Home Team to Score

89.3%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.591.5%

Goal in Both Halves91.5%

Home or Away (12)84.3%

Draw or Away (X2)77.0%

Draw No Bet - Away75.2%

Away Win63.4%

Home or Draw (1X)34.6%

Draw No Bet - Home24.8%

Home Win20.9%

Draw13.7%

Exactly 1 Goal1.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals96.7%

Over 2.5 Goals93.2%

Over 3.5 Goals85.8%

4+ Goals85.8%

Over 4.5 Goals74.1%

Over 5.5 Goals59.1%

Total Goals Odd49.0%

Total Goals Even49.0%

Under 5.5 Goals40.9%

Under 4.5 Goals25.9%

2-4 Goals22.6%

3-4 Goals19.1%

Under 3.5 Goals14.2%

1-3 Goals11.9%

2-3 Goals10.9%

Exactly 3 Goals7.4%

Under 2.5 Goals6.8%

1-2 Goals4.6%

Exactly 2 Goals3.5%

Under 1.5 Goals3.3%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score96.0%

Home Team to Score89.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)87.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)12.4%

Away Clean Sheet8.6%

Away Win to Nil8.4%

Home Clean Sheet2.0%

Home Win to Nil1.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.596.0%

Home Over 0.589.3%

Away Over 1.588.3%

Away Over 2.573.2%

Away 3+ Goals73.2%

Home Over 1.568.4%

Home Over 2.542.9%

Home 3+ Goals42.9%

Home Exactly 225.5%

Home Exactly 120.9%

Away Exactly 215.1%

Home Exactly 08.6%

Away Exactly 17.7%

Away Exactly 02.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)93.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)88.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home88.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)86.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away86.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)79.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home79.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)77.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away77.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)66.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home66.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)63.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)50.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home50.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)47.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away47.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)34.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home34.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)31.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away31.8%

Away to win by 3+31.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)20.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)18.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away18.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.9%

Away to win by 115.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.6%

Away to win by 215.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw12.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)11.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home11.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw9.9%

Home to win by 19.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)9.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away9.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw9.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.0%

Home to win by 26.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.1%

Home to win by 3+5.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away4.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.585.9%

Away & Over 2.561.4%

Away & BTTS54.9%

Home & Over 2.520.0%

Home & BTTS19.1%

Draw & BTTS13.5%

Draw & Over 2.511.9%

Away & No BTTS8.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.1%

Away & Under 2.52.0%

Draw & Under 2.51.8%

Home & No BTTS1.8%

BTTS & Under 2.51.6%

Home & Under 2.50.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.594.3%

HT Over 1.578.0%

HT Both Teams Score55.2%

HT Away Win53.2%

2nd Half More Goals51.9%

HT/FT Away/Away45.8%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Home Win23.4%

HT Draw23.4%

HT Under 1.522.0%

Equal Goals Each Half15.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.2%

HT/FT Home/Home12.7%

HT/FT Home/Away6.3%

HT Under 0.55.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Away/Home2.9%

Corners (12)

Home Over 4.5 Corners75.7%

Over 8.5 Corners72.1%

Home Most Corners69.6%

Under 11.5 Corners63.9%

Over 9.5 Corners60.3%

Under 10.5 Corners52.1%

Over 10.5 Corners47.9%

Away Over 4.5 Corners40.4%

Under 9.5 Corners39.7%

Over 11.5 Corners36.1%

Under 8.5 Corners27.9%

Away Most Corners20.3%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards83.6%

Under 5.5 Cards68.9%

Over 3.5 Cards67.2%

Under 4.5 Cards51.6%

Over 4.5 Cards48.4%

Under 3.5 Cards32.8%

Over 5.5 Cards31.1%

Over 0.5 Red Cards18.3%

Under 2.5 Cards16.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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