USA · Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids

Kick-off 03:30 · Sun, Oct 18

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

80% confidence

Portland Timbers 79.5% Draw 10.4% Colorado Rapids 10.1%

Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 84%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

90%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

84%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-1 at 5.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Colorado Rapids: 2 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.5%

Exact-score model probability

Portland Timbers

L D L L L D

Form 0-2-4 Goals 6:12 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2

Colorado Rapids

D D D D W D

Form 1-5-0 Goals 10:9 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Portland Timbers win79.5%

Draw10.4%

Colorado Rapids win10.1%

Over 1.5 goals98.9%

Over 2.5 goals95.0%

Over 3.5 goals87.3%

Both teams to score83.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.6%

Both Halves Over 0.5

91.4%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.591.4%

Goal in Both Halves91.4%

Draw No Bet - Home88.5%

Home or Away (12)86.4%

Home or Draw (1X)86.0%

Home Win76.5%

Draw or Away (X2)19.5%

Draw No Bet - Away11.5%

Away Win9.9%

Draw9.6%

Exactly 1 Goal1.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.8%

Over 1.5 Goals94.7%

Over 2.5 Goals91.2%

Over 3.5 Goals83.8%

4+ Goals83.8%

Over 4.5 Goals72.0%

Over 5.5 Goals57.0%

Total Goals Odd48.0%

Total Goals Even48.0%

Under 5.5 Goals43.0%

Under 4.5 Goals28.0%

2-4 Goals22.7%

3-4 Goals19.2%

Under 3.5 Goals16.2%

1-3 Goals12.0%

2-3 Goals10.9%

Under 2.5 Goals8.8%

Exactly 3 Goals7.4%

Under 1.5 Goals5.3%

1-2 Goals4.6%

Under 0.5 Goals4.2%

Exactly 2 Goals3.5%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

Away Team to Score81.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)80.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)19.9%

Home Clean Sheet14.9%

Home Win to Nil14.8%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil0.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.589.9%

Away Over 0.581.0%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Over 1.553.2%

Away Exactly 127.8%

Away Over 2.527.4%

Away 3+ Goals27.4%

Away Exactly 225.8%

Away Exactly 014.9%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)87.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)86.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home86.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)77.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away77.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)76.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)64.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away64.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)62.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home62.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)48.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away48.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)47.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home47.1%

Home to win by 3+47.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)33.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away33.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)31.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home31.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)19.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away19.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)18.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home18.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.9%

Home to win by 215.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.5%

Home to win by 113.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw13.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw9.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)9.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home9.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw5.6%

Away to win by 15.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.7%

Away to win by 22.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.6%

Away to win by 3+1.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.578.6%

Home & Over 2.573.9%

Home & BTTS61.7%

Home & No BTTS14.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.6%

Draw & BTTS9.4%

Away & Over 2.59.3%

Away & BTTS9.0%

Draw & Over 2.57.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.3%

Home & Under 2.52.5%

Draw & Under 2.51.6%

BTTS & Under 2.51.4%

Away & No BTTS0.9%

Away & Under 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.594.3%

HT Over 1.577.9%

HT Home Win65.0%

HT/FT Home/Home60.5%

2nd Half More Goals51.8%

HT Both Teams Score49.2%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.522.1%

HT Draw20.4%

Equal Goals Each Half15.7%

HT Away Win14.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.1%

HT/FT Away/Home5.8%

HT Under 0.55.7%

HT/FT Away/Away5.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.4%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners69.5%

Under 11.5 Corners66.8%

Home Over 4.5 Corners60.2%

Over 9.5 Corners57.3%

Away Over 4.5 Corners56.0%

Under 10.5 Corners55.2%

Home Most Corners46.8%

Over 10.5 Corners44.8%

Under 9.5 Corners42.7%

Away Most Corners40.6%

Over 11.5 Corners33.2%

Under 8.5 Corners30.5%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards88.5%

Over 3.5 Cards75.2%

Under 5.5 Cards59.4%

Over 4.5 Cards58.1%

Under 4.5 Cards41.9%

Over 5.5 Cards40.6%

Under 3.5 Cards24.8%

Over 0.5 Red Cards20.5%

Under 2.5 Cards11.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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