USA · Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo

Kick-off 03:45 · Mon, Nov 2

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

49% confidence

Portland Timbers 48.6% Draw 19.5% Houston Dynamo 31.9%

Over 2.5 - 86% BTTS - 83%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

83%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Portland Timbers: 8 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.6%

Exact-score model probability

Portland Timbers

W W D L D L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:10 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.67

Houston Dynamo

D D W D L D

Form 1-4-1 Goals 9:10 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Portland Timbers win48.6%

Draw19.5%

Houston Dynamo win31.9%

Over 1.5 goals96.0%

Over 2.5 goals86.2%

Over 3.5 goals71.3%

Both teams to score83.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

91.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.5%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.582.6%

Goal in Both Halves82.6%

Home or Away (12)81.5%

Home or Draw (1X)67.3%

Draw No Bet - Home60.2%

Draw or Away (X2)50.7%

Home Win49.0%

Draw No Bet - Away39.8%

Away Win32.5%

Draw18.3%

Exactly 1 Goal3.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.0%

Over 1.5 Goals95.2%

Over 2.5 Goals86.0%

Over 3.5 Goals71.1%

4+ Goals71.1%

Under 5.5 Goals64.5%

Over 4.5 Goals53.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 4.5 Goals47.0%

2-4 Goals42.2%

Over 5.5 Goals35.5%

3-4 Goals32.9%

Under 3.5 Goals28.9%

1-3 Goals27.9%

2-3 Goals24.1%

Exactly 3 Goals14.9%

Under 2.5 Goals14.0%

1-2 Goals13.0%

Exactly 2 Goals9.2%

Under 1.5 Goals4.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.8%

Away Team to Score88.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)82.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)17.6%

Home Clean Sheet11.2%

Home Win to Nil10.4%

Away Clean Sheet7.0%

Away Win to Nil6.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.8%

Away Over 0.588.6%

Home Over 1.574.2%

Away Over 1.564.0%

Home Over 2.549.5%

Home 3+ Goals49.5%

Away Over 2.537.2%

Away 3+ Goals37.2%

Away Exactly 226.8%

Home Exactly 224.7%

Away Exactly 124.5%

Home Exactly 118.6%

Away Exactly 011.2%

Home Exactly 07.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)82.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away82.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)82.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home82.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)68.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away68.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)67.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home67.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)50.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away50.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)49.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)32.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)31.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home31.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.9%

Home to win by 117.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)17.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away17.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)17.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home17.1%

Home to win by 3+17.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.7%

Away to win by 114.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.1%

Home to win by 214.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.5%

Away to win by 29.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.3%

Away to win by 3+8.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.577.8%

Home & Over 2.544.2%

Home & BTTS38.6%

Away & Over 2.528.9%

Away & BTTS26.3%

Draw & BTTS17.5%

Draw & Over 2.512.9%

Home & No BTTS10.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.2%

Away & No BTTS6.2%

Draw & Under 2.55.3%

Home & Under 2.54.9%

BTTS & Under 2.54.6%

Away & Under 2.53.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.7%

HT Over 1.564.1%

2nd Half More Goals49.4%

HT Both Teams Score43.7%

HT Home Win40.9%

HT Under 1.535.9%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT/FT Home/Home32.0%

HT Away Win30.1%

HT Draw29.1%

HT/FT Away/Away20.0%

Equal Goals Each Half18.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.5%

HT Under 0.511.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home4.7%

HT/FT Home/Away3.5%

Corners (12)

Home Over 4.5 Corners70.1%

Under 11.5 Corners69.7%

Over 8.5 Corners66.7%

Home Most Corners65.9%

Under 10.5 Corners58.3%

Over 9.5 Corners54.2%

Under 9.5 Corners45.8%

Over 10.5 Corners41.7%

Away Over 4.5 Corners39.1%

Under 8.5 Corners33.3%

Over 11.5 Corners30.3%

Away Most Corners23.2%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards79.3%

Over 2.5 Cards75.4%

Under 4.5 Cards63.9%

Over 3.5 Cards55.7%

Under 3.5 Cards44.3%

Over 4.5 Cards36.1%

Under 2.5 Cards24.6%

Over 5.5 Cards20.7%

Over 0.5 Red Cards15.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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