USA · Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers vs San Diego

● LIVE 67' · 2:1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

56% confidence

Portland Timbers 56.2% Draw 20.4% San Diego 23.4%

Over 2.5 - 78% BTTS - 75%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

57%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.2%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Portland Timbers: 10 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.2%

Exact-score model probability

Portland Timbers

L W W D W L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 13:10 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.67

San Diego

W D W L L D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:9 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Portland Timbers win56.2%

Draw20.4%

San Diego win23.4%

Over 1.5 goals92.6%

Over 2.5 goals78.1%

Over 3.5 goals59.2%

Both teams to score74.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.8%

Home Over 0.5

91.8%

Over 1.5 Goals

91.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.2%

Both Halves Over 0.575.8%

Goal in Both Halves75.8%

Home or Draw (1X)75.6%

Draw No Bet - Home70.1%

Home Win56.9%

Draw or Away (X2)42.9%

Draw No Bet - Away29.9%

Away Win24.2%

Draw18.7%

Exactly 1 Goal6.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals91.7%

Over 2.5 Goals78.0%

Under 5.5 Goals76.5%

Under 4.5 Goals60.3%

Over 3.5 Goals59.2%

4+ Goals59.2%

2-4 Goals52.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals40.8%

Over 4.5 Goals39.7%

1-3 Goals39.1%

3-4 Goals38.3%

2-3 Goals32.5%

Over 5.5 Goals23.5%

Under 2.5 Goals22.0%

1-2 Goals20.3%

Exactly 3 Goals18.8%

Exactly 2 Goals13.7%

Under 1.5 Goals8.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals1.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.8%

Away Team to Score80.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)73.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)26.3%

Home Clean Sheet19.6%

Home Win to Nil18.1%

Away Clean Sheet8.1%

Away Win to Nil6.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.8%

Away Over 0.580.2%

Home Over 1.571.4%

Away Over 1.548.3%

Home Over 2.545.8%

Home 3+ Goals45.8%

Away Exactly 131.9%

Away Exactly 226.0%

Home Exactly 225.6%

Away Over 2.522.3%

Away 3+ Goals22.3%

Home Exactly 120.4%

Away Exactly 019.6%

Home Exactly 08.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)90.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away90.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)79.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away79.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)75.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home75.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)63.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away63.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)56.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)42.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away42.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)36.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home36.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)24.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)20.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home20.3%

Home to win by 3+20.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.1%

Home to win by 120.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.5%

Home to win by 216.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.0%

Away to win by 113.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)9.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home9.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.9%

Away to win by 26.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.3%

Away to win by 3+4.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.567.2%

Home & Over 2.547.9%

Home & BTTS38.9%

Away & Over 2.519.5%

Home & No BTTS18.1%

Away & BTTS17.7%

Draw & BTTS17.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.8%

Draw & Over 2.510.6%

Home & Under 2.59.0%

Draw & Under 2.58.1%

Away & No BTTS6.5%

BTTS & Under 2.56.5%

Away & Under 2.54.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.5%

HT Over 1.555.5%

2nd Half More Goals47.8%

HT Home Win45.0%

HT Under 1.544.5%

HT/FT Home/Home37.5%

HT Both Teams Score35.1%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw31.3%

HT Away Win23.7%

Equal Goals Each Half20.0%

HT Under 0.515.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.1%

HT/FT Away/Away14.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home4.4%

HT/FT Home/Away2.4%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners78.2%

Home Over 4.5 Corners77.6%

Over 9.5 Corners67.7%

Home Most Corners65.5%

Over 10.5 Corners56.0%

Under 11.5 Corners55.9%

Away Over 4.5 Corners49.9%

Over 11.5 Corners44.1%

Under 10.5 Corners44.0%

Under 9.5 Corners32.3%

Away Most Corners24.1%

Under 8.5 Corners21.8%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards78.5%

Over 2.5 Cards76.2%

Under 4.5 Cards62.9%

Over 3.5 Cards56.7%

Under 3.5 Cards43.3%

Over 4.5 Cards37.1%

Under 2.5 Cards23.8%

Over 5.5 Cards21.5%

Over 0.5 Red Cards16.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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