USA · Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City

Kick-off 03:30 · Thu, Sep 10

📊 Our Prediction

HT Over 0.5

67% confidence

Portland Timbers 20.3% Draw 13.1% St. Louis City 66.6%

Over 2.5 - 97% BTTS - 93%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

93%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

87%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is St. Louis City win at 66.6%.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to St. Louis City: 10 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.34 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this HT Over 0.5

Portland Timbers win

20.3%

1X2 model probability

Draw

13.1%

1X2 model probability

St. Louis City win

66.6%

1X2 model probability

Portland Timbers

W L D W L W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 13:11 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.83

St. Louis City

W D W D W D

Form 3-3-0 Goals 13:8 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Portland Timbers win20.3%

Draw13.1%

St. Louis City win66.6%

Over 1.5 goals99.5%

Over 2.5 goals97.4%

Over 3.5 goals92.7%

Both teams to score92.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

90.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

90.7%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.594.4%

Goal in Both Halves94.4%

Home or Away (12)83.4%

Draw No Bet - Away76.6%

Draw or Away (X2)76.3%

Away Win63.9%

Home or Draw (1X)31.9%

Draw No Bet - Home23.4%

Home Win19.5%

Draw12.3%

Exactly 1 Goal0.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.7%

Over 1.5 Goals95.2%

Over 2.5 Goals93.3%

Over 3.5 Goals88.8%

4+ Goals88.8%

Over 4.5 Goals80.6%

Over 5.5 Goals68.7%

Total Goals Odd47.9%

Total Goals Even47.9%

Under 5.5 Goals31.3%

Under 4.5 Goals19.4%

2-4 Goals14.6%

3-4 Goals12.7%

Under 3.5 Goals11.2%

1-3 Goals6.9%

Under 2.5 Goals6.7%

2-3 Goals6.4%

Under 1.5 Goals4.8%

Exactly 3 Goals4.5%

Under 0.5 Goals4.3%

1-2 Goals2.4%

Exactly 2 Goals1.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.7%

Home Team to Score89.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)88.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)11.5%

Away Clean Sheet6.2%

Away Win to Nil6.1%

Home Clean Sheet1.1%

Home Win to Nil1.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.7%

Away Over 1.589.7%

Home Over 0.589.6%

Away Over 2.578.5%

Away 3+ Goals78.5%

Home Over 1.572.6%

Home Over 2.549.4%

Home 3+ Goals49.4%

Home Exactly 223.3%

Home Exactly 117.0%

Away Exactly 211.2%

Home Exactly 06.2%

Away Exactly 15.0%

Away Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)90.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)85.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away85.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)84.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home84.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)76.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away76.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)74.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home74.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)63.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)61.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home61.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)49.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away49.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)46.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home46.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)34.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away34.4%

Away to win by 3+34.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)31.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home31.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)21.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away21.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)19.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.9%

Away to win by 214.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.6%

Away to win by 114.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw13.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)11.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away11.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)10.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home10.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw9.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.9%

Home to win by 18.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw6.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.5%

Home to win by 25.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away5.1%

Home to win by 3+5.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.587.7%

Away & Over 2.562.9%

Away & BTTS57.8%

Home & Over 2.519.0%

Home & BTTS18.5%

Draw & BTTS12.3%

Draw & Over 2.511.4%

Away & No BTTS6.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.51.6%

Draw & Under 2.51.0%

Away & Under 2.51.0%

Home & No BTTS1.0%

BTTS & Under 2.50.9%

Home & Under 2.50.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.596.1%

HT Over 1.583.6%

HT Both Teams Score61.5%

HT Away Win55.7%

2nd Half More Goals53.0%

HT/FT Away/Away48.5%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Home Win22.9%

HT Draw21.4%

HT Under 1.516.4%

Equal Goals Each Half14.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.6%

HT/FT Home/Home11.9%

HT/FT Home/Away6.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.0%

HT Under 0.53.9%

HT/FT Away/Home3.0%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners79.6%

Away Over 4.5 Corners75.7%

Over 9.5 Corners69.5%

Away Most Corners59.7%

Over 10.5 Corners57.9%

Home Over 4.5 Corners56.0%

Under 11.5 Corners54.0%

Over 11.5 Corners46.0%

Under 10.5 Corners42.1%

Under 9.5 Corners30.5%

Home Most Corners29.2%

Under 8.5 Corners20.4%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards86.8%

Over 3.5 Cards72.3%

Under 5.5 Cards63.1%

Over 4.5 Cards54.5%

Under 4.5 Cards45.5%

Over 5.5 Cards36.9%

Under 3.5 Cards27.7%

Over 0.5 Red Cards19.7%

Under 2.5 Cards13.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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