England · Championship

Portsmouth vs Blackburn

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Sep 19

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

44% confidence

Portsmouth 31.3% Draw 24.4% Blackburn 44.3%

Over 2.5 - 68% BTTS - 69%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 9.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Portsmouth: 7 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.2%

Exact-score model probability

Portsmouth

D W L L W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 7:8 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.33

Blackburn

W L L D L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 7:9 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Portsmouth win31.3%

Draw24.4%

Blackburn win44.3%

Over 1.5 goals87.5%

Over 2.5 goals67.8%

Over 3.5 goals46.2%

Both teams to score68.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

88.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

88.5%

Over 1.5 Goals

86.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.9%

Both Halves Over 0.567.6%

Goal in Both Halves67.6%

Draw or Away (X2)67.5%

Draw No Bet - Away58.3%

Home or Draw (1X)54.5%

Away Win45.5%

Draw No Bet - Home41.7%

Home Win32.5%

Draw22.0%

Exactly 1 Goal10.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.9%

Over 1.5 Goals86.3%

Under 5.5 Goals85.9%

Under 4.5 Goals72.7%

Over 2.5 Goals67.7%

2-4 Goals59.0%

Under 3.5 Goals53.9%

1-3 Goals50.8%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals46.1%

4+ Goals46.1%

3-4 Goals40.5%

2-3 Goals40.2%

Under 2.5 Goals32.3%

1-2 Goals29.2%

Over 4.5 Goals27.3%

Exactly 3 Goals21.6%

Exactly 2 Goals18.6%

Over 5.5 Goals14.1%

Under 1.5 Goals13.7%

Under 0.5 Goals3.1%

Exactly 0 Goals3.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score85.1%

Home Team to Score79.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)67.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)32.3%

Away Clean Sheet20.5%

Away Win to Nil17.4%

Home Clean Sheet14.9%

Home Win to Nil11.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.585.1%

Home Over 0.579.5%

Away Over 1.556.7%

Home Over 1.547.1%

Home Exactly 132.5%

Away Over 2.529.7%

Away 3+ Goals29.7%

Away Exactly 128.3%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 225.8%

Home Over 2.521.3%

Home 3+ Goals21.3%

Home Exactly 020.5%

Away Exactly 014.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)88.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home88.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)84.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away84.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)74.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home74.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)67.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away67.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)54.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home54.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)45.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)32.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)25.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away25.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.3%

Away to win by 120.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.9%

Home to win by 116.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)15.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home15.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.7%

Away to win by 213.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)11.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away11.5%

Away to win by 3+11.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.5%

Home to win by 29.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.1%

Home to win by 3+6.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.558.5%

Away & Over 2.534.1%

Away & BTTS28.1%

Home & Over 2.523.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.523.0%

Home & BTTS20.6%

Draw & BTTS19.0%

Away & No BTTS17.4%

Draw & Under 2.512.2%

Home & No BTTS11.8%

Away & Under 2.511.3%

Draw & Over 2.59.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.3%

BTTS & Under 2.59.2%

Home & Under 2.58.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.2%

HT Under 1.553.4%

HT Over 1.546.6%

2nd Half More Goals46.1%

HT Away Win36.3%

HT Draw35.6%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Both Teams Score29.4%

HT/FT Away/Away28.3%

HT Home Win28.1%

Equal Goals Each Half22.0%

HT Under 0.520.8%

HT/FT Home/Home19.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Away3.4%

HT/FT Away/Home2.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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