England · Championship

Portsmouth vs QPR

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Aug 15

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

65% confidence

Portsmouth 65.4% Draw 20.7% QPR 13.9%

Over 2.5 - 64% BTTS - 58%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 9.8%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.8%

Exact-score model probability

Portsmouth

L D

Form 0-1-1 Goals 2:4 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2

QPR

D L

Form 0-1-1 Goals 1:4 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Portsmouth win65.4%

Draw20.7%

QPR win13.9%

Over 1.5 goals85.2%

Over 2.5 goals64.0%

Over 3.5 goals41.9%

Both teams to score58.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

89.9%

Home Over 0.5

89.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

88.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)84.9%

Draw No Bet - Home81.6%

Home or Away (12)81.4%

Home Win66.5%

Both Halves Over 0.564.8%

Goal in Both Halves64.8%

Draw or Away (X2)33.5%

Draw18.5%

Draw No Bet - Away18.4%

Away Win15.0%

Exactly 1 Goal12.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.2%

Under 5.5 Goals88.4%

Over 1.5 Goals84.1%

Under 4.5 Goals76.3%

Over 2.5 Goals64.0%

2-4 Goals60.4%

Under 3.5 Goals58.1%

1-3 Goals54.3%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals42.2%

Over 3.5 Goals41.9%

4+ Goals41.9%

3-4 Goals40.3%

Under 2.5 Goals36.0%

1-2 Goals32.3%

Over 4.5 Goals23.7%

Exactly 3 Goals22.1%

Exactly 2 Goals20.1%

Under 1.5 Goals15.9%

Over 5.5 Goals11.6%

Under 0.5 Goals3.8%

Exactly 0 Goals3.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.9%

Away Team to Score63.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)56.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)43.2%

Home Clean Sheet36.8%

Home Win to Nil33.1%

Away Clean Sheet10.0%

Away Win to Nil6.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.9%

Home Over 1.566.9%

Away Over 0.563.2%

Home Over 2.540.3%

Home 3+ Goals40.3%

Away Exactly 036.8%

Away Exactly 136.8%

Home Exactly 226.5%

Away Over 1.526.4%

Home Exactly 123.1%

Away Exactly 218.4%

Home Exactly 010.0%

Away Over 2.58.0%

Away 3+ Goals8.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)88.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away88.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)84.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home84.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)76.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away76.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)66.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)56.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away56.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)43.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home43.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)33.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away33.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)23.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home23.9%

Home to win by 3+23.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.8%

Home to win by 122.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.7%

Home to win by 219.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)15.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)11.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home11.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.9%

Away to win by 19.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.7%

Away to win by 23.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.4%

Away to win by 3+1.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.548.4%

Home & Over 2.548.2%

Home & BTTS33.4%

Home & No BTTS33.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.527.5%

Home & Under 2.518.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.6%

Draw & BTTS14.8%

Draw & Under 2.512.2%

Away & Over 2.59.5%

Away & BTTS8.7%

BTTS & Under 2.58.5%

Draw & Over 2.56.3%

Away & No BTTS6.3%

Away & Under 2.55.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.577.3%

HT Under 1.556.3%

HT Home Win49.6%

2nd Half More Goals45.6%

HT/FT Home/Home44.4%

HT Over 1.543.7%

HT Draw34.5%

1st Half More Goals31.7%

HT Both Teams Score23.4%

HT Under 0.522.7%

Equal Goals Each Half22.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.7%

HT Away Win15.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.3%

HT/FT Away/Away8.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home3.5%

HT/FT Home/Away1.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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