England · Championship

Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd

Kick-off 19:45 · Wed, Oct 14

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

50% confidence

Portsmouth 27.3% Draw 22.6% Sheffield Utd 50.1%

Over 2.5 - 73% BTTS - 72%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 8.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Sheffield Utd: 5 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.7%

Exact-score model probability

Portsmouth

L D D W L L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.17

Sheffield Utd

W L L W L W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 10:9 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Portsmouth win27.3%

Draw22.6%

Sheffield Utd win50.1%

Over 1.5 goals90.2%

Over 2.5 goals72.9%

Over 3.5 goals52.3%

Both teams to score71.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

89.1%

Away Team to Score

88.7%

Away Over 0.5

88.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.4%

Draw or Away (X2)71.6%

Both Halves Over 0.571.6%

Goal in Both Halves71.6%

Draw No Bet - Away64.3%

Away Win51.1%

Home or Draw (1X)48.9%

Draw No Bet - Home35.7%

Home Win28.3%

Draw20.5%

Exactly 1 Goal8.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.7%

Over 1.5 Goals89.1%

Under 5.5 Goals81.8%

Over 2.5 Goals72.8%

Under 4.5 Goals67.1%

2-4 Goals56.2%

Over 3.5 Goals52.3%

4+ Goals52.3%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals47.7%

1-3 Goals45.4%

3-4 Goals39.9%

2-3 Goals36.8%

Over 4.5 Goals32.9%

Under 2.5 Goals27.2%

1-2 Goals24.9%

Exactly 3 Goals20.5%

Over 5.5 Goals18.2%

Exactly 2 Goals16.3%

Under 1.5 Goals10.9%

Under 0.5 Goals2.3%

Exactly 0 Goals2.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score88.7%

Home Team to Score79.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)70.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)29.2%

Away Clean Sheet20.2%

Away Win to Nil17.9%

Home Clean Sheet11.3%

Home Win to Nil9.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.588.7%

Home Over 0.579.8%

Away Over 1.564.1%

Home Over 1.547.5%

Away Over 2.537.3%

Away 3+ Goals37.3%

Home Exactly 132.3%

Away Exactly 226.9%

Home Exactly 225.8%

Away Exactly 124.6%

Home Over 2.521.7%

Home 3+ Goals21.7%

Home Exactly 020.2%

Away Exactly 011.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)86.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away86.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)84.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home84.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)71.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away71.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)69.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home69.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)51.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)48.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home48.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)30.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away30.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)28.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.4%

Away to win by 120.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)15.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away15.4%

Away to win by 3+15.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.2%

Away to win by 215.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.0%

Home to win by 115.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)13.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home13.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw8.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.2%

Home to win by 28.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away6.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.2%

Home to win by 3+5.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.562.9%

Away & Over 2.540.7%

Away & BTTS33.2%

Home & Over 2.521.8%

Home & BTTS19.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.519.2%

Draw & BTTS18.3%

Away & No BTTS17.9%

Away & Under 2.510.4%

Draw & Over 2.510.3%

Draw & Under 2.510.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.0%

Home & No BTTS9.0%

BTTS & Under 2.57.9%

Home & Under 2.56.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.581.8%

HT Over 1.550.8%

HT Under 1.549.2%

2nd Half More Goals47.0%

HT Away Win40.5%

HT Draw33.6%

HT/FT Away/Away32.7%

HT Both Teams Score32.1%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Home Win25.9%

Equal Goals Each Half21.0%

HT Under 0.518.2%

HT/FT Home/Home16.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Away3.9%

HT/FT Away/Home2.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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