England · Championship

Preston vs Bristol City

Kick-off 19:45 · Tue, Sep 1

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

78% confidence

Preston 8.0% Draw 13.8% Bristol City 78.2%

Over 2.5 - 77% BTTS - 61%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

92%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-3 at 8.3%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Bristol City: 1 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.3%

Exact-score model probability

Preston

L L L L D L

Form 0-1-5 Goals 4:14 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2.33

Bristol City

W D L L W

Form 2-1-2 Goals 6:6 Scored/game 1.2 Conceded/game 1.2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Preston win8.0%

Draw13.8%

Bristol City win78.2%

Over 1.5 goals92.1%

Over 2.5 goals77.4%

Over 3.5 goals58.2%

Both teams to score60.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.0%

Draw or Away (X2)

90.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

90.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)90.9%

Draw No Bet - Away90.1%

Home or Away (12)87.1%

Away Win78.5%

Both Halves Over 0.575.2%

Goal in Both Halves75.2%

Home or Draw (1X)21.0%

Draw12.4%

Draw No Bet - Home9.9%

Home Win8.6%

Exactly 1 Goal6.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals91.0%

Under 5.5 Goals77.6%

Over 2.5 Goals77.0%

Under 4.5 Goals61.6%

Over 3.5 Goals57.9%

4+ Goals57.9%

2-4 Goals52.6%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Under 3.5 Goals42.1%

1-3 Goals40.0%

3-4 Goals38.6%

Over 4.5 Goals38.4%

2-3 Goals33.1%

Under 2.5 Goals23.0%

Over 5.5 Goals22.4%

1-2 Goals20.9%

Exactly 3 Goals19.1%

Exactly 2 Goals14.0%

Under 1.5 Goals9.0%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals1.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.0%

Home Team to Score62.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)59.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)40.3%

Away Clean Sheet37.0%

Away Win to Nil35.3%

Home Clean Sheet4.5%

Home Win to Nil2.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.0%

Away Over 1.581.1%

Home Over 0.562.5%

Away Over 2.559.4%

Away 3+ Goals59.4%

Home Exactly 037.0%

Home Exactly 136.6%

Home Over 1.525.9%

Away Exactly 221.6%

Home Exactly 218.1%

Away Exactly 114.0%

Home Over 2.57.8%

Home 3+ Goals7.8%

Away Exactly 04.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away96.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)94.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)90.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away90.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)88.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home88.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)78.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)76.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home76.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)60.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away60.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)59.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home59.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)39.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away39.9%

Away to win by 3+39.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)39.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home39.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)22.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away22.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)21.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home21.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw20.2%

Away to win by 220.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.4%

Away to win by 118.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw17.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw11.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)11.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away11.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)8.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw6.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw5.9%

Home to win by 15.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)4.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away4.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home2.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.1%

Home to win by 22.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.7%

Home to win by 3+0.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.565.3%

BTTS & Over 2.554.5%

Away & BTTS43.2%

Away & No BTTS35.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.522.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.4%

Away & Under 2.513.2%

Draw & BTTS10.7%

Draw & Under 2.56.8%

Home & Over 2.56.2%

Home & BTTS5.8%

Draw & Over 2.55.6%

BTTS & Under 2.55.1%

Home & No BTTS2.8%

Home & Under 2.52.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.1%

HT Away Win60.9%

HT/FT Away/Away57.0%

HT Over 1.554.9%

2nd Half More Goals47.7%

HT Under 1.545.1%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw27.4%

HT Both Teams Score27.0%

Equal Goals Each Half20.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.0%

HT Under 0.515.9%

HT Home Win11.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.3%

HT/FT Home/Home4.7%

HT/FT Home/Away4.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home3.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Away/Home0.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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