England · League Cup

Preston vs Everton

Kick-off 20:00 · Wed, Aug 26

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

Preston 27.8% Draw 19.2% Everton 53.0%

Over 2.5 - 86% BTTS - 82%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

82%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 6.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Everton: 1 points versus 5 across the last 4 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.5%

Exact-score model probability

Preston

L L D L

Form 0-1-3 Goals 4:9 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2.25

Everton

W L L D D L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 9:11 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Preston win27.8%

Draw19.2%

Everton win53.0%

Over 1.5 goals95.7%

Over 2.5 goals85.5%

Over 3.5 goals70.1%

Both teams to score81.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

90.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

90.0%

HT Over 0.5

88.3%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.581.9%

Goal in Both Halves81.9%

Home or Away (12)81.8%

Draw or Away (X2)71.4%

Draw No Bet - Away65.4%

Away Win53.5%

Home or Draw (1X)46.2%

Draw No Bet - Home34.6%

Home Win28.3%

Draw17.9%

Exactly 1 Goal4.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.9%

Over 1.5 Goals94.9%

Over 2.5 Goals85.3%

Over 3.5 Goals69.9%

4+ Goals69.9%

Under 5.5 Goals65.8%

Over 4.5 Goals51.7%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 4.5 Goals48.3%

2-4 Goals43.2%

Over 5.5 Goals34.2%

3-4 Goals33.6%

Under 3.5 Goals30.1%

1-3 Goals29.0%

2-3 Goals24.9%

Exactly 3 Goals15.3%

Under 2.5 Goals14.7%

1-2 Goals13.7%

Exactly 2 Goals9.6%

Under 1.5 Goals5.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.4%

Home Team to Score86.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)81.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)19.0%

Away Clean Sheet13.2%

Away Win to Nil12.3%

Home Clean Sheet6.4%

Home Win to Nil5.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.4%

Home Over 0.586.6%

Away Over 1.575.8%

Home Over 1.559.9%

Away Over 2.551.6%

Away 3+ Goals51.6%

Home Over 2.532.9%

Home 3+ Goals32.9%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 126.7%

Away Exactly 224.2%

Away Exactly 117.6%

Home Exactly 013.2%

Away Exactly 06.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)90.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home90.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)85.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away85.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)79.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home79.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)71.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away71.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)64.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home64.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)53.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)46.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home46.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)35.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away35.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)28.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)19.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away19.8%

Away to win by 3+19.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.5%

Away to win by 118.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.2%

Away to win by 215.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)14.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home14.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.6%

Home to win by 113.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)9.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away9.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.2%

Home to win by 28.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.5%

Home to win by 3+6.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.576.3%

Away & Over 2.548.0%

Away & BTTS41.2%

Home & Over 2.524.9%

Home & BTTS22.8%

Draw & BTTS17.1%

Draw & Over 2.512.4%

Away & No BTTS12.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.9%

Draw & Under 2.55.5%

Away & Under 2.55.5%

Home & No BTTS5.5%

BTTS & Under 2.54.7%

Home & Under 2.53.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.3%

HT Over 1.563.3%

2nd Half More Goals49.2%

HT Away Win43.8%

HT Both Teams Score42.4%

HT Under 1.536.7%

HT/FT Away/Away35.4%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw29.0%

HT Home Win27.2%

Equal Goals Each Half18.4%

HT/FT Home/Home17.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.5%

HT Under 0.511.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home3.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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