England · Championship

Preston vs Millwall

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Oct 10

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

63% confidence

Preston 20.0% Draw 17.1% Millwall 62.9%

Over 2.5 - 87% BTTS - 80%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 6.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Millwall: 4 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.6%

Exact-score model probability

Preston

D L L W L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 6:10 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.67

Millwall

D D L L W L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 9:11 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Preston win20.0%

Draw17.1%

Millwall win62.9%

Over 1.5 goals96.2%

Over 2.5 goals86.7%

Over 3.5 goals72.1%

Both teams to score80.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

89.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

89.8%

HT Over 0.5

89.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)83.6%

Both Halves Over 0.583.1%

Goal in Both Halves83.1%

Draw or Away (X2)79.1%

Draw No Bet - Away75.5%

Away Win63.2%

Home or Draw (1X)36.4%

Draw No Bet - Home24.5%

Home Win20.5%

Draw15.9%

Exactly 1 Goal3.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals95.2%

Over 2.5 Goals86.3%

Over 3.5 Goals71.8%

4+ Goals71.8%

Under 5.5 Goals63.6%

Over 4.5 Goals53.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Under 4.5 Goals46.1%

2-4 Goals41.3%

Over 5.5 Goals36.4%

3-4 Goals32.4%

Under 3.5 Goals28.2%

1-3 Goals27.0%

2-3 Goals23.4%

Exactly 3 Goals14.5%

Under 2.5 Goals13.7%

1-2 Goals12.5%

Exactly 2 Goals8.9%

Under 1.5 Goals4.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.0%

Home Team to Score83.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)79.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)20.5%

Away Clean Sheet16.3%

Away Win to Nil15.5%

Home Clean Sheet4.5%

Home Win to Nil3.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.0%

Home Over 0.583.3%

Away Over 1.581.1%

Away Over 2.559.4%

Away 3+ Goals59.4%

Home Over 1.553.8%

Home Exactly 129.5%

Home Over 2.527.1%

Home 3+ Goals27.1%

Home Exactly 226.7%

Away Exactly 221.6%

Home Exactly 016.3%

Away Exactly 114.0%

Away Exactly 04.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.2%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home92.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)89.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away89.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)84.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home84.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)79.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away79.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)71.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home71.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)63.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)54.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home54.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)44.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away44.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)36.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home36.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)27.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away27.7%

Away to win by 3+27.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)20.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.4%

Away to win by 118.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.0%

Away to win by 217.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)14.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away14.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw12.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.8%

Home to win by 110.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)9.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home9.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw8.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)6.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away6.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.8%

Home to win by 25.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.9%

Home to win by 3+3.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.575.4%

Away & Over 2.557.3%

Away & BTTS47.6%

Home & Over 2.517.9%

Home & BTTS16.7%

Away & No BTTS15.5%

Draw & BTTS15.2%

Draw & Over 2.511.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.1%

Away & Under 2.55.8%

Draw & Under 2.54.9%

BTTS & Under 2.54.1%

Home & No BTTS3.8%

Home & Under 2.52.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.0%

HT Over 1.564.8%

HT Away Win50.6%

2nd Half More Goals49.5%

HT/FT Away/Away43.6%

HT Both Teams Score41.9%

HT Under 1.535.2%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw27.5%

HT Home Win21.9%

Equal Goals Each Half18.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.8%

HT/FT Home/Home12.0%

HT Under 0.511.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.1%

HT/FT Home/Away5.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Away/Home2.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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