England · Championship

Preston vs Southampton

Full time · 1:0

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

69% confidence

Preston 13.2% Draw 17.4% Southampton 69.4%

Over 2.5 - 76% BTTS - 66%

✓ Pick was correct (1:0)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

87%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 8.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Southampton: 1 points versus 14 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.7%

Exact-score model probability

Preston

L L D L L L

Form 0-1-5 Goals 4:15 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2.5

Southampton

D W W D W W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 10:4 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 0.67

Head to head · last 1

Preston 0wins ·0 draws ·Southampton 1wins

Preston 1-3 SouthamptonMay 2, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Preston win13.2%

Draw17.4%

Southampton win69.4%

Over 1.5 goals91.4%

Over 2.5 goals75.7%

Over 3.5 goals56.0%

Both teams to score66.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

90.4%

Draw or Away (X2)

85.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

85.8%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)85.8%

Home or Away (12)84.0%

Draw No Bet - Away83.3%

Both Halves Over 0.573.9%

Goal in Both Halves73.9%

Away Win70.0%

Home or Draw (1X)29.8%

Draw No Bet - Home16.7%

Draw15.7%

Home Win14.0%

Exactly 1 Goal7.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals90.4%

Under 5.5 Goals79.2%

Over 2.5 Goals75.6%

Under 4.5 Goals63.6%

Over 3.5 Goals55.9%

4+ Goals55.9%

2-4 Goals54.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals44.1%

1-3 Goals42.0%

3-4 Goals39.2%

Over 4.5 Goals36.4%

2-3 Goals34.5%

Under 2.5 Goals24.4%

1-2 Goals22.3%

Over 5.5 Goals20.8%

Exactly 3 Goals19.7%

Exactly 2 Goals14.9%

Under 1.5 Goals9.6%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals1.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.5%

Home Team to Score69.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)65.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)34.6%

Away Clean Sheet30.0%

Away Win to Nil28.1%

Home Clean Sheet6.3%

Home Win to Nil4.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.5%

Away Over 1.576.2%

Home Over 0.569.8%

Away Over 2.552.2%

Away 3+ Goals52.2%

Home Exactly 136.1%

Home Over 1.533.7%

Home Exactly 030.0%

Away Exactly 224.0%

Home Exactly 221.7%

Away Exactly 117.3%

Home Over 2.512.0%

Home 3+ Goals12.0%

Away Exactly 06.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.2%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away94.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)92.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home92.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)85.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away85.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)84.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home84.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)70.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)69.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home69.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)50.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home50.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)49.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away49.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)30.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away30.3%

Away to win by 3+30.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)29.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home29.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.3%

Away to win by 120.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw19.4%

Away to win by 219.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)15.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away15.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw14.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)14.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.8%

Home to win by 18.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw8.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)7.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away7.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home5.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw3.7%

Home to win by 23.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.6%

Home to win by 3+1.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.559.1%

Away & Over 2.557.6%

Away & BTTS41.9%

Away & No BTTS28.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.516.4%

Draw & BTTS13.9%

Away & Under 2.512.4%

Home & Over 2.510.4%

Home & BTTS9.6%

Draw & Under 2.58.1%

Draw & Over 2.57.6%

BTTS & Under 2.56.3%

Home & No BTTS4.4%

Home & Under 2.53.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.3%

HT Away Win53.8%

HT Over 1.553.4%

HT/FT Away/Away48.5%

2nd Half More Goals47.4%

HT Under 1.546.6%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw30.1%

HT Both Teams Score29.8%

Equal Goals Each Half20.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.5%

HT Under 0.516.7%

HT Home Win16.1%

HT/FT Home/Home7.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away4.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Away/Home1.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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