Netherlands · Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord

Kick-off 14:30 · Sun, Oct 25

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

54% confidence

PSV Eindhoven 53.5% Draw 21.0% Feyenoord 25.4%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 94%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

92%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 5.4%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Feyenoord: 9 points versus 15 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 5.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.4%

Exact-score model probability

PSV Eindhoven

W L L W L W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 10:7 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.17

Feyenoord

L W W W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 21:6 Scored/game 3.5 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 5

PSV Eindhoven 4wins ·1 draws ·Feyenoord 0wins

PSV Eindhoven 3-0 FeyenoordFeb 1, 2026

PSV Eindhoven 3-2 FeyenoordOct 26, 2025

PSV Eindhoven 3-2 FeyenoordMay 11, 2025

PSV Eindhoven 3-0 FeyenoordDec 22, 2024

PSV Eindhoven 2-2 FeyenoordMar 3, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

PSV Eindhoven win53.5%

Draw21.0%

Feyenoord win25.4%

Over 1.5 goals92.3%

Over 2.5 goals97.7%

Over 3.5 goals58.5%

Both teams to score93.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5

90.6%

Goal in Both Halves

90.6%

Away Team to Score

88.3%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.590.6%

Goal in Both Halves90.6%

Home or Away (12)84.5%

Home or Draw (1X)78.3%

Draw No Bet - Home76.5%

Home Win64.6%

Draw or Away (X2)33.5%

Draw No Bet - Away23.5%

Away Win19.9%

Draw13.7%

Exactly 1 Goal1.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.0%

Over 1.5 Goals96.7%

Over 2.5 Goals92.7%

Over 3.5 Goals84.4%

4+ Goals84.4%

Over 4.5 Goals71.7%

Over 5.5 Goals56.1%

Total Goals Odd49.1%

Total Goals Even49.1%

Under 5.5 Goals43.9%

Under 4.5 Goals28.3%

2-4 Goals24.9%

3-4 Goals20.9%

Under 3.5 Goals15.6%

1-3 Goals13.6%

2-3 Goals12.3%

Exactly 3 Goals8.2%

Under 2.5 Goals7.3%

1-2 Goals5.3%

Exactly 2 Goals4.0%

Under 1.5 Goals3.3%

Under 0.5 Goals2.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.1%

Away Team to Score88.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)86.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)13.6%

Home Clean Sheet9.9%

Home Win to Nil9.6%

Away Clean Sheet2.1%

Away Win to Nil1.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.1%

Away Over 0.588.3%

Home Over 1.587.9%

Home Over 2.572.2%

Home 3+ Goals72.2%

Away Over 1.565.7%

Away Over 2.539.6%

Away 3+ Goals39.6%

Away Exactly 226.1%

Away Exactly 122.7%

Home Exactly 215.7%

Away Exactly 09.9%

Home Exactly 18.1%

Home Exactly 02.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)93.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)88.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away88.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)78.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away78.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)78.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home78.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)65.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away65.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)64.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)49.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away49.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)48.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home48.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)33.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away33.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)32.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home32.6%

Home to win by 3+32.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)19.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)19.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home19.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.2%

Home to win by 116.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.9%

Home to win by 215.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)10.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away10.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home9.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.6%

Away to win by 19.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.7%

Away to win by 25.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.6%

Away to win by 3+4.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.584.6%

Home & Over 2.562.3%

Home & BTTS55.0%

Away & Over 2.518.8%

Away & BTTS18.0%

Draw & BTTS13.5%

Draw & Over 2.511.6%

Home & No BTTS9.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.7%

Home & Under 2.52.4%

Draw & Under 2.52.1%

Away & No BTTS1.9%

BTTS & Under 2.51.9%

Away & Under 2.51.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.593.7%

HT Over 1.576.4%

HT Home Win53.8%

HT Both Teams Score53.1%

2nd Half More Goals51.6%

HT/FT Home/Home46.7%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw23.7%

HT Under 1.523.6%

HT Away Win22.5%

Equal Goals Each Half16.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.5%

HT/FT Away/Away11.9%

HT Under 0.56.3%

HT/FT Away/Home6.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Away2.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions