Mexico · Liga MX

Puebla vs Atlante FC

● LIVE 45' · 0:1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

59% confidence

Puebla 59.2% Draw 20.5% Atlante FC 20.3%

Over 2.5 - 75% BTTS - 71%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Puebla: 10 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.8%

Exact-score model probability

Puebla

L W L W W D

Form 3-1-2 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Atlante FC

L D D L D W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 5:9 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Puebla win59.2%

Draw20.5%

Atlante FC win20.3%

Over 1.5 goals91.1%

Over 2.5 goals74.8%

Over 3.5 goals54.8%

Both teams to score70.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.5%

Home Over 0.5

91.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.3%

Home or Draw (1X)78.7%

Draw No Bet - Home73.9%

Both Halves Over 0.573.1%

Goal in Both Halves73.1%

Home Win60.1%

Draw or Away (X2)39.8%

Draw No Bet - Away26.1%

Away Win21.2%

Draw18.6%

Exactly 1 Goal7.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals90.1%

Under 5.5 Goals80.0%

Over 2.5 Goals74.7%

Under 4.5 Goals64.7%

Over 3.5 Goals54.8%

4+ Goals54.8%

2-4 Goals54.8%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals45.2%

1-3 Goals43.1%

3-4 Goals39.5%

Over 4.5 Goals35.3%

2-3 Goals35.3%

Under 2.5 Goals25.3%

1-2 Goals23.2%

Over 5.5 Goals20.0%

Exactly 3 Goals20.0%

Exactly 2 Goals15.3%

Under 1.5 Goals9.9%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals2.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.5%

Away Team to Score76.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)69.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)30.3%

Home Clean Sheet23.7%

Home Win to Nil21.7%

Away Clean Sheet8.4%

Away Win to Nil6.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.5%

Away Over 0.576.2%

Home Over 1.570.6%

Home Over 2.544.8%

Home 3+ Goals44.8%

Away Over 1.542.1%

Away Exactly 134.1%

Home Exactly 225.8%

Away Exactly 224.5%

Away Exactly 023.7%

Home Exactly 120.9%

Away Over 2.517.6%

Away 3+ Goals17.6%

Home Exactly 08.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)89.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away89.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)78.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home78.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)78.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away78.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)60.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away60.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)60.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)39.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away39.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)39.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home39.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)21.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home21.7%

Home to win by 3+21.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)21.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.8%

Home to win by 120.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.5%

Home to win by 217.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.1%

Away to win by 112.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)10.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home10.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.9%

Away to win by 25.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.2%

Away to win by 3+3.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.562.6%

Home & Over 2.549.0%

Home & BTTS38.4%

Home & No BTTS21.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.518.0%

Draw & BTTS16.6%

Away & Over 2.516.3%

Away & BTTS14.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.1%

Home & Under 2.511.1%

Draw & Over 2.59.5%

Draw & Under 2.59.1%

BTTS & Under 2.57.1%

Away & No BTTS6.4%

Away & Under 2.55.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.8%

HT Over 1.552.5%

HT Under 1.547.5%

2nd Half More Goals47.3%

HT Home Win46.7%

HT/FT Home/Home39.8%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw32.0%

HT Both Teams Score32.0%

HT Away Win21.3%

Equal Goals Each Half20.6%

HT Under 0.517.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.1%

HT/FT Away/Away12.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away2.0%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners74.5%

Home Over 4.5 Corners66.2%

Over 9.5 Corners63.2%

Under 11.5 Corners60.9%

Away Over 4.5 Corners58.1%

Over 10.5 Corners51.0%

Home Most Corners49.9%

Under 10.5 Corners49.0%

Over 11.5 Corners39.1%

Away Most Corners37.9%

Under 9.5 Corners36.8%

Under 8.5 Corners25.5%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards85.2%

Under 4.5 Cards71.8%

Over 2.5 Cards68.7%

Under 3.5 Cards52.8%

Over 3.5 Cards47.2%

Under 2.5 Cards31.3%

Over 4.5 Cards28.2%

Over 5.5 Cards14.8%

Over 0.5 Red Cards14.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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