Mexico · Liga MX

Puebla vs Santos Laguna

Full time · 3:2

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

88% confidence

Puebla 88.1% Draw 8.9% Santos Laguna 3.0%

Over 2.5 - 77% BTTS - 46%

✓ Pick was correct (3:2)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

91%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

88%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 11.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Puebla: 7 points versus 0 across the last 4 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.6%

Exact-score model probability

Puebla

W D L W

Form 2-1-1 Goals 6:5 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.25

Santos Laguna

L L L L

Form 0-0-4 Goals 2:8 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Puebla win88.1%

Draw8.9%

Santos Laguna win3.0%

Over 1.5 goals91.8%

Over 2.5 goals77.1%

Over 3.5 goals57.7%

Both teams to score45.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

91.2%

Over 1.5 Goals

90.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

90.4%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home96.2%

Home or Draw (1X)95.6%

Home or Away (12)91.2%

Home Win87.7%

Both Halves Over 0.575.1%

Goal in Both Halves75.1%

Draw or Away (X2)11.4%

Draw7.9%

Exactly 1 Goal6.9%

Draw No Bet - Away3.8%

Away Win3.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.4%

Over 1.5 Goals90.5%

Under 5.5 Goals78.2%

Over 2.5 Goals76.4%

Under 4.5 Goals62.3%

Over 3.5 Goals57.2%

4+ Goals57.2%

2-4 Goals52.8%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Under 3.5 Goals42.8%

1-3 Goals40.2%

3-4 Goals38.7%

Over 4.5 Goals37.7%

2-3 Goals33.3%

Under 2.5 Goals23.6%

Over 5.5 Goals21.8%

1-2 Goals21.0%

Exactly 3 Goals19.2%

Exactly 2 Goals14.1%

Under 1.5 Goals9.5%

Under 0.5 Goals2.6%

Exactly 0 Goals1.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)55.4%

Home Clean Sheet53.0%

Home Win to Nil51.3%

Away Team to Score46.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)44.6%

Away Clean Sheet3.2%

Away Win to Nil1.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.9%

Home Over 1.585.0%

Home Over 2.566.1%

Home 3+ Goals66.1%

Away Exactly 053.0%

Away Over 0.546.1%

Away Exactly 133.2%

Home Exactly 218.9%

Away Over 1.512.9%

Home Exactly 111.0%

Away Exactly 210.4%

Home Exactly 03.2%

Away Over 2.52.5%

Away 3+ Goals2.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home98.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home95.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)90.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)87.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)80.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away80.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)72.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home72.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)65.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away65.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)53.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home53.2%

Home to win by 3+53.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)45.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away45.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)33.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home33.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)26.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away26.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.6%

Home to win by 219.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw19.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)18.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home18.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw15.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.9%

Home to win by 114.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)11.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away11.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw9.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home8.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw2.7%

Away to win by 12.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.6%

Away to win by 20.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.571.8%

Home & No BTTS51.3%

BTTS & Over 2.540.9%

Home & BTTS36.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.535.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.519.1%

Home & Under 2.516.0%

Draw & BTTS6.2%

Draw & Under 2.55.4%

BTTS & Under 2.53.7%

Draw & Over 2.52.5%

Away & Over 2.52.1%

Away & BTTS2.0%

Away & No BTTS1.5%

Away & Under 2.51.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.0%

HT Home Win69.9%

HT/FT Home/Home67.9%

HT Over 1.554.7%

2nd Half More Goals47.7%

HT Under 1.545.3%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw23.8%

Equal Goals Each Half20.1%

HT Both Teams Score19.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.9%

HT Under 0.516.0%

HT Away Win6.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Away/Home2.8%

HT/FT Away/Away1.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.4%

HT/FT Home/Away0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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