Mexico · Liga MX

Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Kick-off 04:00 · Sat, Oct 31

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

56% confidence

Puebla 24.1% Draw 20.2% U.N.A.M. - Pumas 55.7%

Over 2.5 - 79% BTTS - 76%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 7.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to U.N.A.M. - Pumas: 4 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.9%

Exact-score model probability

Puebla

L D D D D L

Form 0-4-2 Goals 2:6 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

D W D L W L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:11 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Puebla win24.1%

Draw20.2%

U.N.A.M. - Pumas win55.7%

Over 1.5 goals93.2%

Over 2.5 goals79.3%

Over 3.5 goals60.9%

Both teams to score75.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

92.0%

Away Over 0.5

92.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

90.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.3%

Both Halves Over 0.576.8%

Goal in Both Halves76.8%

Draw or Away (X2)75.0%

Draw No Bet - Away69.4%

Away Win56.4%

Home or Draw (1X)43.5%

Draw No Bet - Home30.6%

Home Win24.9%

Draw18.6%

Exactly 1 Goal6.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.4%

Over 1.5 Goals92.2%

Over 2.5 Goals79.2%

Under 5.5 Goals75.0%

Over 3.5 Goals60.8%

4+ Goals60.8%

Under 4.5 Goals58.6%

2-4 Goals50.8%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals41.4%

Under 3.5 Goals39.2%

3-4 Goals37.8%

1-3 Goals37.6%

2-3 Goals31.4%

Over 5.5 Goals25.0%

Under 2.5 Goals20.8%

1-2 Goals19.2%

Exactly 3 Goals18.4%

Exactly 2 Goals13.0%

Under 1.5 Goals7.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.6%

Exactly 0 Goals1.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score92.0%

Home Team to Score81.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)74.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)25.1%

Away Clean Sheet18.5%

Away Win to Nil17.1%

Home Clean Sheet7.9%

Home Win to Nil6.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.592.0%

Home Over 0.581.3%

Away Over 1.572.0%

Home Over 1.550.1%

Away Over 2.546.6%

Away 3+ Goals46.6%

Home Exactly 131.2%

Home Exactly 226.3%

Away Exactly 225.4%

Home Over 2.523.8%

Home 3+ Goals23.8%

Away Exactly 120.0%

Home Exactly 018.5%

Away Exactly 07.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)90.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home90.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)88.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away88.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)79.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home79.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)75.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away75.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)63.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home63.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)56.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)43.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home43.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)36.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away36.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)24.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)20.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away20.2%

Away to win by 3+20.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.9%

Away to win by 119.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.3%

Away to win by 216.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.1%

Home to win by 113.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)11.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home11.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)9.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away9.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.1%

Home to win by 27.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.6%

Home to win by 3+4.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.568.7%

Away & Over 2.547.9%

Away & BTTS39.3%

Home & Over 2.520.4%

Home & BTTS18.5%

Away & No BTTS17.1%

Draw & BTTS17.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.514.4%

Draw & Over 2.510.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.5%

Away & Under 2.58.4%

Draw & Under 2.57.7%

Home & No BTTS6.4%

BTTS & Under 2.56.2%

Home & Under 2.54.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.1%

HT Over 1.556.7%

2nd Half More Goals48.0%

HT Away Win44.8%

HT Under 1.543.3%

HT/FT Away/Away37.2%

HT Both Teams Score36.2%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw31.0%

HT Home Win24.3%

Equal Goals Each Half19.7%

HT Under 0.514.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.8%

HT/FT Home/Home14.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Away4.5%

HT/FT Away/Home2.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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