UEFA Europa League

Qarabag vs CSKA Sofia

Kick-off 17:00 · Thu, Jul 23

📊 Our Prediction

Home Win

85% confidence

Qarabag 85.0% Draw 10.0% CSKA Sofia 5.0%

Over 2.5 - 72% BTTS - 31%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

Qarabag form

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 63%

⚠️ AIs disagree

64%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

High xG

70%

Home Clean Sheet

Qarabag defense

65%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Qarabag has a strong form with 3 goals scored and 0 conceded in their last match. They have a high xG of 3.45. CSKA Sofia has a lower xG of 0.4. Qarabag's home advantage and high attacking threat make them favorites.

💡

Top Tip

Qarabag is likely to win with a clean sheet

📈 Probability Breakdown

Qarabag win85.0%

Draw10.0%

CSKA Sofia win5.0%

Over 1.5 goals90.0%

Over 2.5 goals71.9%

Over 3.5 goals53.2%

Both teams to score31.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions