UEFA Europa Conference League

Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv

Kick-off 17:00 · Thu, Aug 13

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

64% confidence

Qarabag 63.9% Draw 29.2% Dynamo Kyiv 6.9%

Over 2.5 - 24% BTTS - 20%

🎯 Best Pick

No Both Teams Score (NG)

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 25.7%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Qarabag: 8 points versus 5 across the last 5 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

25.7%

Exact-score model probability

Qarabag

L D D W W

Form 2-2-1 Goals 6:1 Scored/game 1.2 Conceded/game 0.2

Dynamo Kyiv

W L L D D

Form 1-2-2 Goals 3:5 Scored/game 0.6 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 1

Qarabag 0wins ·0 draws ·Dynamo Kyiv 1wins

Qarabag 0-1 Dynamo KyivAug 6, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Qarabag win63.9%

Draw29.2%

Dynamo Kyiv win6.9%

Over 1.5 goals51.1%

Over 2.5 goals23.7%

Over 3.5 goals9.0%

Both teams to score20.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 3.5 Goals

91.0%

Draw No Bet - Home

89.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

86.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)92.1%

Draw No Bet - Home89.2%

Home or Away (12)72.8%

Home Win64.9%

Draw or Away (X2)35.1%

Both Halves Over 0.532.0%

Goal in Both Halves32.0%

Exactly 1 Goal31.3%

Draw27.2%

Draw No Bet - Away10.8%

Away Win7.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.2%

Under 4.5 Goals97.2%

Under 3.5 Goals91.0%

Over 0.5 Goals81.4%

Under 2.5 Goals76.3%

1-3 Goals72.3%

1-2 Goals57.6%

Total Goals Even51.7%

Over 1.5 Goals50.1%

Under 1.5 Goals49.9%

Total Goals Odd48.3%

2-4 Goals47.2%

2-3 Goals41.0%

Exactly 2 Goals26.3%

Over 2.5 Goals23.7%

3-4 Goals20.9%

Under 0.5 Goals18.6%

Exactly 0 Goals18.6%

Exactly 3 Goals14.7%

Over 3.5 Goals9.0%

4+ Goals9.0%

Over 4.5 Goals2.8%

Over 5.5 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)80.6%

Home Team to Score74.8%

Home Clean Sheet74.1%

Home Win to Nil55.4%

Away Team to Score25.9%

Away Clean Sheet25.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)19.4%

Away Win to Nil6.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.574.8%

Away Exactly 074.1%

Home Over 1.540.1%

Home Exactly 134.7%

Away Over 0.525.9%

Home Exactly 025.2%

Home Exactly 224.0%

Away Exactly 122.2%

Home Over 2.516.2%

Home 3+ Goals16.2%

Away Over 1.53.7%

Away Exactly 23.3%

Away Over 2.50.4%

Away 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home98.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)92.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home92.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)86.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away86.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)66.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away66.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)64.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)35.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away35.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)33.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home33.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw31.4%

Home to win by 131.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.3%

Home to win by 220.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)13.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home13.2%

Home to win by 3+13.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)7.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.8%

Away to win by 16.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.0%

Away to win by 21.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.568.5%

Home & No BTTS55.4%

Home & Under 2.543.5%

Draw & Under 2.526.4%

Home & Over 2.521.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.1%

BTTS & Over 2.511.7%

Home & BTTS9.5%

Draw & BTTS8.6%

BTTS & Under 2.57.7%

Away & No BTTS6.5%

Away & Under 2.56.4%

Away & Over 2.51.5%

Away & BTTS1.4%

Draw & Over 2.50.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.582.5%

HT Over 0.553.0%

HT Draw51.0%

HT Under 0.547.0%

HT Home Win42.0%

HT/FT Home/Home39.6%

2nd Half More Goals37.7%

Equal Goals Each Half34.1%

1st Half More Goals28.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home24.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw22.8%

HT Over 1.517.5%

HT Away Win7.1%

HT Both Teams Score5.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.9%

HT/FT Away/Away3.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Away/Home1.0%

HT/FT Home/Away0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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