England · Championship

QPR vs Bolton

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Aug 22

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

40% confidence

QPR 34.1% Draw 26.1% Bolton 39.8%

Over 2.5 - 62% BTTS - 65%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score (GG)

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

48%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.4%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.4%

Exact-score model probability

QPR

W D L

Form 1-1-1 Goals 4:5 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.67

Bolton

W L

Form 1-0-1 Goals 2:2 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

QPR win34.1%

Draw26.1%

Bolton win39.8%

Over 1.5 goals84.2%

Over 2.5 goals62.0%

Over 3.5 goals39.7%

Both teams to score65.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

91.2%

Under 5.5 Goals

89.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)76.6%

Draw or Away (X2)64.5%

Both Halves Over 0.563.2%

Goal in Both Halves63.2%

Home or Draw (1X)58.8%

Draw No Bet - Away53.7%

Draw No Bet - Home46.3%

Away Win41.2%

Home Win35.4%

Draw23.4%

Exactly 1 Goal13.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.9%

Under 5.5 Goals89.5%

Over 1.5 Goals82.9%

Under 4.5 Goals78.1%

Over 2.5 Goals62.0%

2-4 Goals60.9%

Under 3.5 Goals60.3%

1-3 Goals56.2%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals43.1%

3-4 Goals40.1%

Over 3.5 Goals39.7%

4+ Goals39.7%

Under 2.5 Goals38.0%

1-2 Goals33.9%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Over 4.5 Goals21.9%

Exactly 2 Goals20.9%

Under 1.5 Goals17.1%

Over 5.5 Goals10.5%

Under 0.5 Goals4.1%

Exactly 0 Goals4.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score81.1%

Home Team to Score78.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)63.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)36.4%

Away Clean Sheet21.6%

Home Clean Sheet18.9%

Away Win to Nil17.5%

Home Win to Nil14.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.581.1%

Home Over 0.578.4%

Away Over 1.549.6%

Home Over 1.545.3%

Home Exactly 133.1%

Away Exactly 131.5%

Away Exactly 226.2%

Home Exactly 225.4%

Away Over 2.523.4%

Away 3+ Goals23.4%

Home Exactly 021.6%

Home Over 2.519.9%

Home 3+ Goals19.9%

Away Exactly 018.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)83.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away83.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)78.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home78.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)64.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away64.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)58.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home58.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)41.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)35.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)21.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away21.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.1%

Away to win by 120.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.5%

Home to win by 118.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)17.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home17.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.3%

Away to win by 212.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.4%

Home to win by 210.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.8%

Away to win by 3+8.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.6%

Home to win by 3+6.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.553.2%

Away & Over 2.528.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.527.6%

Home & Over 2.524.4%

Away & BTTS23.7%

Home & BTTS20.6%

Draw & BTTS19.3%

Away & No BTTS17.5%

Home & No BTTS14.8%

Draw & Under 2.514.5%

Away & Under 2.512.5%

Home & Under 2.511.0%

BTTS & Under 2.510.4%

Draw & Over 2.58.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.576.3%

HT Under 1.557.8%

2nd Half More Goals45.2%

HT Over 1.542.2%

HT Draw37.6%

HT Away Win33.0%

1st Half More Goals31.6%

HT Home Win29.4%

HT Both Teams Score26.3%

HT/FT Away/Away25.0%

HT Under 0.523.7%

Equal Goals Each Half23.1%

HT/FT Home/Home21.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Away2.9%

HT/FT Away/Home2.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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