England · Championship

QPR vs Burnley

Kick-off 20:45 · Tue, Nov 3

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

82% confidence

QPR 81.8% Draw 9.7% Burnley 8.5%

Over 2.5 - 94% BTTS - 81%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

92%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-1 at 5.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to QPR: 8 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.9%

Exact-score model probability

QPR

L W L W D D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 13:11 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.83

Burnley

D L D W D L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 9:10 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

QPR win81.8%

Draw9.7%

Burnley win8.5%

Over 1.5 goals98.7%

Over 2.5 goals94.4%

Over 3.5 goals85.9%

Both teams to score80.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5

90.7%

Goal in Both Halves

90.7%

Over 2.5 Goals

90.6%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.590.7%

Goal in Both Halves90.7%

Draw No Bet - Home90.4%

Home or Draw (1X)87.6%

Home or Away (12)87.1%

Home Win78.7%

Draw or Away (X2)17.2%

Draw No Bet - Away9.6%

Draw8.9%

Away Win8.4%

Exactly 1 Goal1.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.8%

Over 1.5 Goals94.5%

Over 2.5 Goals90.6%

Over 3.5 Goals82.4%

4+ Goals82.4%

Over 4.5 Goals69.9%

Over 5.5 Goals54.4%

Total Goals Odd48.0%

Total Goals Even48.0%

Under 5.5 Goals45.6%

Under 4.5 Goals30.1%

2-4 Goals24.6%

3-4 Goals20.7%

Under 3.5 Goals17.6%

1-3 Goals13.3%

2-3 Goals12.0%

Under 2.5 Goals9.4%

Exactly 3 Goals8.1%

Under 1.5 Goals5.5%

1-2 Goals5.2%

Under 0.5 Goals4.2%

Exactly 2 Goals3.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

Away Team to Score78.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)77.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)22.7%

Home Clean Sheet17.7%

Home Win to Nil17.5%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil0.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.589.9%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Over 0.578.2%

Away Over 1.548.3%

Away Exactly 130.0%

Away Exactly 225.3%

Away Over 2.523.0%

Away 3+ Goals23.0%

Away Exactly 017.7%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)87.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home87.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)86.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)78.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)76.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away76.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)65.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home65.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)62.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away62.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)49.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home49.8%

Home to win by 3+49.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)46.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away46.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)33.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home33.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)30.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away30.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)20.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home20.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)17.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away17.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.9%

Home to win by 215.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw13.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.1%

Home to win by 113.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)10.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home10.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw10.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)8.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw4.9%

Away to win by 14.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.2%

Away to win by 22.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.2%

Away to win by 3+1.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.575.8%

Home & Over 2.575.7%

Home & BTTS61.2%

Home & No BTTS17.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.514.8%

Draw & BTTS8.7%

Away & Over 2.57.7%

Away & BTTS7.5%

Draw & Over 2.57.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.8%

Home & Under 2.53.0%

Draw & Under 2.51.8%

BTTS & Under 2.51.6%

Away & No BTTS0.9%

Away & Under 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.593.8%

HT Over 1.576.6%

HT Home Win66.9%

HT/FT Home/Home62.9%

2nd Half More Goals51.6%

HT Both Teams Score46.2%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.523.4%

HT Draw20.0%

Equal Goals Each Half15.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.2%

HT Away Win13.0%

HT Under 0.56.2%

HT/FT Away/Home5.5%

HT/FT Away/Away4.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.4%

HT/FT Home/Away1.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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