England · Championship

QPR vs Lincoln

Kick-off 16:00 · Sat, Nov 7

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

90% confidence

QPR 89.5% Draw 7.1% Lincoln 3.4%

Over 2.5 - 89% BTTS - 61%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

90%

Draw No Bet - Home

DNB home — draw refunds stake

90%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-0 at 7.4%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to QPR: 8 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.4%

Exact-score model probability

QPR

D L W L W D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 12:10 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.67

Lincoln

L L W D L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 7:16 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

QPR win89.5%

Draw7.1%

Lincoln win3.4%

Over 1.5 goals96.9%

Over 2.5 goals89.1%

Over 3.5 goals75.9%

Both teams to score61.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

90.6%

HT Over 0.5

90.5%

Home Over 1.5

89.6%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home96.0%

Home or Draw (1X)93.3%

Home or Away (12)90.6%

Home Win87.0%

Both Halves Over 0.585.5%

Goal in Both Halves85.5%

Draw or Away (X2)9.9%

Draw6.3%

Draw No Bet - Away4.0%

Away Win3.6%

Exactly 1 Goal2.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.4%

Over 1.5 Goals93.6%

Over 2.5 Goals86.3%

Over 3.5 Goals73.6%

4+ Goals73.6%

Under 5.5 Goals60.5%

Over 4.5 Goals56.9%

Total Goals Even48.6%

Total Goals Odd48.4%

Under 4.5 Goals43.1%

Over 5.5 Goals39.5%

2-4 Goals36.7%

3-4 Goals29.4%

Under 3.5 Goals26.4%

1-3 Goals22.8%

2-3 Goals20.0%

Under 2.5 Goals13.7%

Exactly 3 Goals12.7%

1-2 Goals10.1%

Exactly 2 Goals7.3%

Under 1.5 Goals6.4%

Under 0.5 Goals3.6%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.5%

Away Team to Score59.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)59.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)41.0%

Home Clean Sheet37.1%

Home Win to Nil36.6%

Away Clean Sheet1.4%

Away Win to Nil0.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.5%

Home Over 1.589.6%

Home Over 2.576.9%

Home 3+ Goals76.9%

Away Over 0.559.8%

Away Exactly 037.1%

Away Exactly 135.6%

Away Over 1.524.2%

Away Exactly 217.1%

Home Exactly 212.7%

Away Over 2.57.1%

Away 3+ Goals7.1%

Home Exactly 15.9%

Home Exactly 01.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)93.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home93.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)87.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)83.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)75.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home75.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)71.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away71.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)59.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home59.5%

Home to win by 3+59.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)55.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away55.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)41.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home41.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)37.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away37.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)25.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home25.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)21.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away21.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw16.0%

Home to win by 216.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)13.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home13.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw12.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.5%

Home to win by 111.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away9.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw2.6%

Away to win by 12.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.8%

Away to win by 20.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.2%

Away to win by 3+0.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.579.9%

BTTS & Over 2.556.8%

Home & BTTS50.4%

Home & No BTTS36.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.529.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.4%

Home & Under 2.57.1%

Draw & BTTS5.8%

Draw & Over 2.53.6%

Away & Over 2.52.9%

Away & BTTS2.8%

Draw & Under 2.52.7%

BTTS & Under 2.52.2%

Away & No BTTS0.9%

Away & Under 2.50.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.5%

HT Home Win73.5%

HT/FT Home/Home71.3%

HT Over 1.568.2%

2nd Half More Goals50.0%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.531.8%

HT Both Teams Score30.0%

HT Draw19.1%

Equal Goals Each Half17.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.0%

HT Under 0.59.5%

HT Away Win7.4%

HT/FT Away/Home3.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw2.9%

HT/FT Away/Away1.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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