England · Championship

QPR vs Preston

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Sep 19

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

65% confidence

QPR 65.2% Draw 24.1% Preston 10.7%

Over 2.5 - 44% BTTS - 40%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

89%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

65%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 15.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to QPR: 9 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

15.8%

Exact-score model probability

QPR

D D L W W D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 5:4 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 0.67

Preston

L L W L L L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 4:12 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

QPR win65.2%

Draw24.1%

Preston win10.7%

Over 1.5 goals71.5%

Over 2.5 goals44.3%

Over 3.5 goals23.1%

Both teams to score40.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

91.3%

Under 4.5 Goals

89.8%

Home or Draw (1X)

88.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)88.1%

Draw No Bet - Home84.8%

Home or Away (12)78.4%

Home Win66.5%

Both Halves Over 0.549.4%

Goal in Both Halves49.4%

Draw or Away (X2)33.5%

Draw21.6%

Exactly 1 Goal21.2%

Draw No Bet - Away15.2%

Away Win11.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals96.1%

Over 0.5 Goals91.3%

Under 4.5 Goals89.8%

Under 3.5 Goals76.9%

Over 1.5 Goals70.2%

1-3 Goals68.2%

2-4 Goals60.0%

Under 2.5 Goals55.7%

Total Goals Even50.4%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

1-2 Goals47.1%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals44.3%

3-4 Goals34.1%

Under 1.5 Goals29.8%

Exactly 2 Goals25.9%

Over 3.5 Goals23.1%

4+ Goals23.1%

Exactly 3 Goals21.1%

Over 4.5 Goals10.2%

Under 0.5 Goals8.7%

Exactly 0 Goals8.6%

Over 5.5 Goals3.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score83.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)61.2%

Home Clean Sheet53.8%

Away Team to Score46.2%

Home Win to Nil45.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)38.8%

Away Clean Sheet16.1%

Away Win to Nil7.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.583.9%

Home Over 1.554.6%

Away Exactly 053.8%

Away Over 0.546.2%

Away Exactly 133.3%

Home Exactly 129.4%

Home Over 2.527.7%

Home 3+ Goals27.7%

Home Exactly 226.9%

Home Exactly 016.1%

Away Over 1.512.9%

Away Exactly 210.3%

Away Over 2.52.5%

Away 3+ Goals2.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)88.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home88.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)80.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away80.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)66.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)60.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away60.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)39.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home39.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)33.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away33.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw26.6%

Home to win by 126.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.7%

Home to win by 220.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)19.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home19.1%

Home to win by 3+19.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)11.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.0%

Away to win by 19.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.4%

Away to win by 22.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.5%

Away to win by 3+0.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.545.9%

Home & No BTTS45.1%

Home & Over 2.536.2%

Home & Under 2.530.2%

BTTS & Over 2.529.0%

Home & BTTS21.3%

Draw & Under 2.518.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.3%

Draw & BTTS12.9%

BTTS & Under 2.59.8%

Away & No BTTS7.4%

Away & Under 2.57.0%

Away & Over 2.54.9%

Away & BTTS4.5%

Draw & Over 2.53.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.569.8%

HT Over 0.566.8%

HT Home Win46.8%

HT/FT Home/Home42.8%

2nd Half More Goals42.3%

HT Draw41.3%

HT Under 0.533.2%

1st Half More Goals30.6%

HT Over 1.530.2%

Equal Goals Each Half27.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home21.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.8%

HT Both Teams Score13.7%

HT Away Win11.9%

HT/FT Away/Away6.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Away/Home2.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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