Spain · La Liga

Racing Santander vs Elche

Kick-off 18:00 · Fri, Aug 28

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

51% confidence

Racing Santander 50.6% Draw 24.8% Elche 24.6%

Over 2.5 - 49% BTTS - 71%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

75%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

74%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 8.7%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.7%

Exact-score model probability

Racing Santander

L D

Form 0-1-1 Goals 2:3 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.5

Elche

L D D W L D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 5:10 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Racing Santander win50.6%

Draw24.8%

Elche win24.6%

Over 1.5 goals74.0%

Over 2.5 goals49.2%

Over 3.5 goals27.3%

Both teams to score71.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

91.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.2%

Both Halves Over 0.569.7%

Goal in Both Halves69.7%

Home or Draw (1X)61.7%

Draw or Away (X2)60.1%

Draw No Bet - Home51.0%

Draw No Bet - Away49.0%

Home Win39.9%

Away Win38.3%

Draw21.8%

Exactly 1 Goal9.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.4%

Over 1.5 Goals87.8%

Under 5.5 Goals83.9%

Over 2.5 Goals70.4%

Under 4.5 Goals69.9%

2-4 Goals57.7%

Under 3.5 Goals50.7%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Over 3.5 Goals49.3%

4+ Goals49.3%

1-3 Goals48.0%

3-4 Goals40.3%

2-3 Goals38.5%

Over 4.5 Goals30.1%

Under 2.5 Goals29.6%

1-2 Goals26.9%

Exactly 3 Goals21.1%

Exactly 2 Goals17.4%

Over 5.5 Goals16.1%

Under 1.5 Goals12.2%

Under 0.5 Goals2.6%

Exactly 0 Goals2.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score84.1%

Away Team to Score83.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)70.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)29.8%

Home Clean Sheet16.5%

Away Clean Sheet15.9%

Home Win to Nil13.9%

Away Win to Nil13.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.584.1%

Away Over 0.583.4%

Home Over 1.554.9%

Away Over 1.553.7%

Away Exactly 129.7%

Home Exactly 129.2%

Home Over 2.528.0%

Home 3+ Goals28.0%

Away Over 2.526.9%

Home Exactly 226.9%

Away 3+ Goals26.9%

Away Exactly 226.8%

Away Exactly 016.5%

Home Exactly 015.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)80.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home80.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)78.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away78.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)61.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home61.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)60.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away60.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)39.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)38.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)21.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home21.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)20.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away20.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.7%

Home to win by 118.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.3%

Away to win by 118.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.9%

Home to win by 211.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.4%

Away to win by 211.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.3%

Home to win by 3+9.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.6%

Away to win by 3+8.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.561.5%

Home & Over 2.530.6%

Away & Over 2.529.3%

Home & BTTS26.0%

Away & BTTS25.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.520.9%

Draw & BTTS19.2%

Home & No BTTS13.9%

Away & No BTTS13.3%

Draw & Under 2.511.3%

Draw & Over 2.510.5%

Home & Under 2.59.3%

Away & Under 2.59.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.9%

BTTS & Under 2.58.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.6%

HT Under 1.551.3%

HT Over 1.548.7%

2nd Half More Goals46.6%

HT Draw34.8%

HT Home Win33.1%

HT Away Win32.1%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Both Teams Score31.3%

HT/FT Home/Home24.4%

HT/FT Away/Away23.3%

Equal Goals Each Half21.5%

HT Under 0.519.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.2%

HT/FT Home/Away3.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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