Spain · La Liga

Racing Santander vs Espanyol

Full time · 2:1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

45% confidence

Racing Santander 44.6% Draw 26.8% Espanyol 28.5%

Over 2.5 - 49% BTTS - 86%

✓ Pick was correct (2:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

74%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.2%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Espanyol: 4 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.2%

Exact-score model probability

Racing Santander

L D L L W L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 8:16 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2.67

Espanyol

L D L L W D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Racing Santander win44.6%

Draw26.8%

Espanyol win28.5%

Over 1.5 goals74.4%

Over 2.5 goals48.9%

Over 3.5 goals27.0%

Both teams to score86.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

91.6%

Away Team to Score

90.9%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.585.4%

Goal in Both Halves85.4%

Home or Away (12)82.0%

Home or Draw (1X)64.9%

Draw No Bet - Home57.6%

Draw or Away (X2)52.5%

Home Win47.2%

Draw No Bet - Away42.4%

Away Win34.8%

Draw17.7%

Exactly 1 Goal2.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals96.3%

Over 2.5 Goals89.1%

Over 3.5 Goals76.3%

4+ Goals76.3%

Over 4.5 Goals59.7%

Under 5.5 Goals57.8%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Over 5.5 Goals42.2%

Under 4.5 Goals40.3%

2-4 Goals36.7%

3-4 Goals29.4%

Under 3.5 Goals23.7%

1-3 Goals22.8%

2-3 Goals20.0%

Exactly 3 Goals12.7%

Under 2.5 Goals10.9%

1-2 Goals10.1%

Exactly 2 Goals7.3%

Under 1.5 Goals3.7%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.6%

Away Team to Score90.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)85.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)14.6%

Home Clean Sheet8.8%

Home Win to Nil8.2%

Away Clean Sheet6.1%

Away Win to Nil5.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.6%

Away Over 0.590.9%

Home Over 1.576.6%

Away Over 1.569.6%

Home Over 2.552.9%

Home 3+ Goals52.9%

Away Over 2.543.7%

Away 3+ Goals43.7%

Away Exactly 225.9%

Home Exactly 223.8%

Away Exactly 121.3%

Home Exactly 117.0%

Away Exactly 08.8%

Home Exactly 06.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)82.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away82.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)79.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home79.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)69.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away69.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)64.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home64.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)52.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away52.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)47.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)34.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)30.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home30.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)20.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away20.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.1%

Home to win by 117.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)16.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home16.7%

Home to win by 3+16.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.8%

Away to win by 114.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.4%

Home to win by 213.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.1%

Away to win by 210.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.9%

Away to win by 3+9.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.5%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.581.8%

Home & Over 2.543.6%

Home & BTTS39.0%

Away & Over 2.531.9%

Away & BTTS29.3%

Draw & BTTS17.2%

Draw & Over 2.513.5%

Home & No BTTS8.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.0%

Away & No BTTS5.5%

Draw & Under 2.54.2%

Home & Under 2.53.6%

BTTS & Under 2.53.6%

Away & Under 2.52.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.5%

HT Over 1.568.2%

2nd Half More Goals50.1%

HT Both Teams Score47.7%

HT Home Win40.2%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Away Win32.0%

HT Under 1.531.8%

HT/FT Home/Home30.8%

HT Draw27.8%

HT/FT Away/Away21.7%

Equal Goals Each Half17.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.7%

HT Under 0.59.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home4.9%

HT/FT Home/Away3.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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