Spain · La Liga

Racing Santander vs Valencia

Kick-off 20:00 · Sun, Oct 11

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

Racing Santander 47.1% Draw 25.8% Valencia 27.1%

Over 2.5 - 50% BTTS - 92%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

75%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is Racing Santander win at 47.1%.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Racing Santander: 6 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Racing Santander win

47.1%

1X2 model probability

Draw

25.8%

1X2 model probability

Valencia win

27.1%

1X2 model probability

Racing Santander

L L W L W L

Form 2-0-4 Goals 9:16 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2.67

Valencia

L W L L L L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 4:13 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Racing Santander win47.1%

Draw25.8%

Valencia win27.1%

Over 1.5 goals75.2%

Over 2.5 goals50.3%

Over 3.5 goals28.3%

Both teams to score92.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

91.0%

Away Over 0.5

91.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.0%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.593.2%

Goal in Both Halves93.2%

Home or Away (12)83.6%

Home or Draw (1X)74.2%

Draw No Bet - Home72.4%

Home Win60.6%

Draw or Away (X2)36.7%

Draw No Bet - Away27.6%

Away Win23.1%

Draw13.6%

Exactly 1 Goal0.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.2%

Over 1.5 Goals96.5%

Over 2.5 Goals94.0%

Over 3.5 Goals88.3%

4+ Goals88.3%

Over 4.5 Goals78.6%

Over 5.5 Goals65.3%

Total Goals Odd48.6%

Total Goals Even48.6%

Under 5.5 Goals34.7%

Under 4.5 Goals21.4%

2-4 Goals17.9%

3-4 Goals15.4%

Under 3.5 Goals11.7%

1-3 Goals8.9%

2-3 Goals8.1%

Under 2.5 Goals6.0%

Exactly 3 Goals5.7%

Under 1.5 Goals3.5%

1-2 Goals3.2%

Under 0.5 Goals2.8%

Exactly 2 Goals2.5%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.7%

Away Team to Score91.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)89.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)10.6%

Home Clean Sheet6.3%

Home Win to Nil6.2%

Away Clean Sheet1.6%

Away Win to Nil1.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.7%

Away Over 0.591.0%

Home Over 1.589.0%

Home Over 2.575.2%

Home 3+ Goals75.2%

Away Over 1.573.6%

Away Over 2.550.0%

Away 3+ Goals50.0%

Away Exactly 223.7%

Away Exactly 117.3%

Home Exactly 213.8%

Home Exactly 16.7%

Away Exactly 06.3%

Home Exactly 01.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)93.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)88.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away88.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)84.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home84.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)79.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away79.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)74.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home74.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)67.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away67.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)60.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)52.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away52.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)45.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home45.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)36.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away36.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)30.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home30.3%

Home to win by 3+30.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)23.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)18.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home18.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.4%

Home to win by 115.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.9%

Home to win by 214.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)12.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away12.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.2%

Away to win by 110.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)9.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home9.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.6%

Away to win by 26.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.3%

Away to win by 3+6.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.588.2%

Home & Over 2.559.2%

Home & BTTS54.3%

Away & Over 2.522.4%

Away & BTTS21.6%

Draw & BTTS13.5%

Draw & Over 2.512.3%

Home & No BTTS6.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.52.1%

Away & No BTTS1.5%

Home & Under 2.51.3%

Draw & Under 2.51.3%

BTTS & Under 2.51.2%

Away & Under 2.50.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.595.4%

HT Over 1.581.3%

HT Both Teams Score59.7%

2nd Half More Goals52.6%

HT Home Win52.0%

HT/FT Home/Home44.1%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Away Win25.3%

HT Draw22.7%

HT Under 1.518.7%

Equal Goals Each Half15.1%

HT/FT Away/Away14.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.4%

HT/FT Away/Home6.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.7%

HT Under 0.54.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Away3.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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