Spain · La Liga

Racing Santander vs Villarreal

Kick-off 16:00 · Sun, Aug 16

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

39% confidence

Racing Santander 39.0% Draw 27.0% Villarreal 34.0%

Over 2.5 - 58% BTTS - 62%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11.1%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.1%

Exact-score model probability

Racing Santander

No recent results stored yet

Villarreal

W L L D W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 15:9 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Racing Santander win39.0%

Draw27.0%

Villarreal win34.0%

Over 1.5 goals81.8%

Over 2.5 goals58.1%

Over 3.5 goals35.7%

Both teams to score62.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

92.0%

Under 5.5 Goals

91.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)75.8%

Home or Draw (1X)64.6%

Both Halves Over 0.560.2%

Goal in Both Halves60.2%

Draw or Away (X2)59.5%

Draw No Bet - Home53.4%

Draw No Bet - Away46.6%

Home Win40.5%

Away Win35.4%

Draw24.2%

Exactly 1 Goal14.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.1%

Under 5.5 Goals91.4%

Under 4.5 Goals81.2%

Over 1.5 Goals80.4%

Under 3.5 Goals64.3%

2-4 Goals61.6%

1-3 Goals59.4%

Over 2.5 Goals58.1%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.6%

Under 2.5 Goals41.9%

3-4 Goals39.3%

1-2 Goals37.0%

Over 3.5 Goals35.7%

4+ Goals35.7%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals22.2%

Under 1.5 Goals19.6%

Over 4.5 Goals18.8%

Over 5.5 Goals8.6%

Under 0.5 Goals4.9%

Exactly 0 Goals4.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score79.2%

Away Team to Score76.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)60.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)39.4%

Home Clean Sheet23.4%

Away Clean Sheet20.8%

Home Win to Nil18.5%

Away Win to Nil15.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.579.2%

Away Over 0.576.6%

Home Over 1.546.5%

Away Over 1.542.6%

Away Exactly 134.0%

Home Exactly 132.7%

Home Exactly 225.6%

Away Exactly 224.7%

Away Exactly 023.4%

Home Over 2.520.9%

Home 3+ Goals20.9%

Home Exactly 020.8%

Away Over 2.517.9%

Away 3+ Goals17.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)83.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home83.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)79.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away79.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)64.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home64.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)59.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away59.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)40.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)35.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.4%

Home to win by 120.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)20.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home20.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.9%

Away to win by 118.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)16.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away16.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.1%

Home to win by 212.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.3%

Away to win by 210.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home8.0%

Home to win by 3+8.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.2%

Away to win by 3+6.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.549.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.530.7%

Home & Over 2.526.8%

Away & Over 2.523.1%

Home & BTTS21.9%

Away & BTTS19.4%

Draw & BTTS19.3%

Home & No BTTS18.5%

Draw & Under 2.516.0%

Away & No BTTS15.9%

Home & Under 2.513.7%

Away & Under 2.512.2%

BTTS & Under 2.511.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.6%

Draw & Over 2.58.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.3%

HT Under 1.560.6%

2nd Half More Goals44.6%

HT Over 1.539.4%

HT Draw39.0%

HT Home Win32.1%

1st Half More Goals31.4%

HT Away Win28.9%

HT Under 0.525.7%

HT Both Teams Score24.3%

HT/FT Home/Home24.3%

Equal Goals Each Half23.9%

HT/FT Away/Away20.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home2.7%

HT/FT Home/Away2.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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