UEFA Europa Conference League

Raków Częstochowa vs Hammarby FF

Full time · 0:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home Win

92% confidence

Raków Częstochowa 92.0% Draw 6.0% Hammarby FF 2.0%

Over 2.5 - 86% BTTS - 39%

✗ Pick missed (0:0)

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

Form gap

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 42%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Attacking threat

85%

Home Clean Sheet

Defensive strength

80%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Raków Częstochowa's strong form and high scoring rate at home give them an edge. Mahir Emreli's presence boosts their attack. Hammarby FF's struggles to score away from home are a concern. With a significant pi-rating differential, Raków Częstochowa are likely to dominate.

💡

Top Tip

Back Raków Częstochowa to win with a strong home performance

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

1X · Home or Draw covers 98% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 2.0% on the only losing outcome.

Form gap

Numbers behind this Home Win

1X · Home or Draw

98%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

Only the uncovered result loses

Bookmaker implied chance

42%

Market does not fully agree

Raków Częstochowa

W W

Form 2-0-0 Goals 7:1 Scored/game 3.5 Conceded/game 0.5

Hammarby FF

L D

Form 0-1-1 Goals 2:4 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Raków Częstochowa win92.0%

Draw6.0%

Hammarby FF win2.0%

Over 1.5 goals96.0%

Over 2.5 goals85.5%

Over 3.5 goals72.4%

Both teams to score39.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.9%

Home Win

91.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home98.8%

Home or Draw (1X)94.9%

Home or Away (12)92.7%

Home Win91.6%

Both Halves Over 0.583.7%

Goal in Both Halves83.7%

Draw or Away (X2)4.4%

Exactly 1 Goal3.4%

Draw3.3%

Draw No Bet - Away1.2%

Away Win1.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.3%

Over 1.5 Goals91.9%

Over 2.5 Goals83.5%

Over 3.5 Goals69.5%

4+ Goals69.5%

Under 5.5 Goals65.6%

Over 4.5 Goals51.9%

Total Goals Even48.3%

Under 4.5 Goals48.1%

Total Goals Odd47.7%

2-4 Goals40.0%

Over 5.5 Goals34.4%

3-4 Goals31.6%

Under 3.5 Goals30.5%

1-3 Goals25.8%

2-3 Goals22.5%

Under 2.5 Goals16.5%

Exactly 3 Goals14.0%

1-2 Goals11.8%

Exactly 2 Goals8.4%

Under 1.5 Goals8.1%

Under 0.5 Goals4.7%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)62.7%

Home Clean Sheet58.2%

Home Win to Nil57.5%

Away Team to Score37.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)37.3%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil0.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.589.9%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Exactly 058.2%

Away Over 0.537.8%

Away Exactly 129.1%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Away Over 1.58.7%

Away Exactly 27.3%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Away Over 2.51.4%

Away 3+ Goals1.4%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home94.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)91.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)83.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home83.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)76.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)70.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home70.0%

Home to win by 3+70.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)61.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away61.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)52.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home52.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)43.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away43.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)34.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home34.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)26.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away26.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)19.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home19.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw17.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw14.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.6%

Home to win by 213.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)12.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away12.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.0%

Home to win by 18.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away4.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw0.9%

Away to win by 10.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.2%

Away to win by 20.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Away to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.581.7%

Home & No BTTS57.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.547.7%

BTTS & Over 2.535.8%

Home & BTTS34.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.9%

Home & Under 2.59.9%

Draw & BTTS2.6%

Draw & Under 2.52.2%

BTTS & Under 2.51.5%

Draw & Over 2.51.1%

Away & Over 2.50.7%

Away & BTTS0.6%

Away & Under 2.50.4%

Away & No BTTS0.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.4%

HT Home Win80.8%

HT/FT Home/Home79.9%

HT Over 1.565.7%

2nd Half More Goals49.5%

HT Under 1.534.3%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

Equal Goals Each Half17.9%

HT Both Teams Score17.5%

HT Draw15.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.6%

HT Under 0.510.6%

HT Away Win3.3%

HT/FT Away/Home2.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw1.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw0.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw0.7%

HT/FT Away/Away0.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away0.4%

HT/FT Home/Away0.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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