UEFA Europa League

Rangers vs Jagiellonia

Kick-off 19:30 · Thu, Aug 13

📊 Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

97% confidence

Rangers 17.0% Draw 12.0% Jagiellonia 71.0%

Over 2.5 - 97% BTTS - 90%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

High scoring teams

⚠️ AIs disagree

70%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS trend

90%

Away Win

Strong away form

85%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Rangers are in poor form, losing 6 of their last 10 matches, while Jagiellonia have a strong away record. With Youssef Chermiti out injured, Rangers' attacking threat is reduced. Jagiellonia's recent win against Rangers will give them confidence. The pi-ratings and expected goals also favor Jagiellonia.

💡

Top Tip

Backing the away team to win is the strongest pick given their current form and head-to-head advantage

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 96.9% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

High scoring teams

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5 Goals probability

96.9%

Chance of 3+ total goals

Rangers high-scoring games

83.3%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Jagiellonia high-scoring games

100%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Rangers

L L D W L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 10:12 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2

Jagiellonia

Form 1-0-0 Goals 2:1 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 1

Rangers 0wins ·0 draws ·Jagiellonia 1wins

Rangers 1-2 JagielloniaAug 6, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Rangers win17.0%

Draw12.0%

Jagiellonia win71.0%

Over 1.5 goals99.3%

Over 2.5 goals96.9%

Over 3.5 goals90.9%

Both teams to score90.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

90.0%

Away Over 1.5

89.8%

Home Team to Score

87.7%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.593.4%

Goal in Both Halves93.4%

Home or Away (12)84.4%

Draw No Bet - Away80.7%

Draw or Away (X2)79.8%

Away Win68.0%

Home or Draw (1X)28.0%

Draw No Bet - Home19.3%

Home Win16.3%

Draw11.7%

Exactly 1 Goal0.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.0%

Over 1.5 Goals95.3%

Over 2.5 Goals92.9%

Over 3.5 Goals87.3%

4+ Goals87.3%

Over 4.5 Goals77.8%

Over 5.5 Goals64.7%

Total Goals Odd48.0%

Total Goals Even48.0%

Under 5.5 Goals35.3%

Under 4.5 Goals22.2%

2-4 Goals17.5%

3-4 Goals15.1%

Under 3.5 Goals12.7%

1-3 Goals8.6%

2-3 Goals7.9%

Under 2.5 Goals7.1%

Exactly 3 Goals5.5%

Under 1.5 Goals4.7%

Under 0.5 Goals4.0%

1-2 Goals3.1%

Exactly 2 Goals2.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.9%

Home Team to Score87.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)86.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)13.4%

Away Clean Sheet8.4%

Away Win to Nil8.3%

Home Clean Sheet1.2%

Home Win to Nil1.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.9%

Away Over 1.589.8%

Home Over 0.587.7%

Away Over 2.578.3%

Away 3+ Goals78.3%

Home Over 1.567.2%

Home Over 2.542.2%

Home 3+ Goals42.2%

Home Exactly 225.0%

Home Exactly 120.5%

Away Exactly 211.5%

Home Exactly 08.4%

Away Exactly 15.2%

Away Exactly 01.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)90.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)87.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away87.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)82.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home82.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)79.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away79.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)72.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home72.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)68.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)58.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home58.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)53.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away53.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)42.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home42.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)38.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away38.0%

Away to win by 3+38.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)28.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home28.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)24.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away24.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)16.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.4%

Away to win by 215.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.6%

Away to win by 114.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw13.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)13.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away13.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw10.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.0%

Home to win by 18.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw7.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away6.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.6%

Home to win by 24.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.7%

Home to win by 3+3.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.585.5%

Away & Over 2.566.6%

Away & BTTS59.7%

Home & Over 2.515.8%

Home & BTTS15.3%

Draw & BTTS11.6%

Draw & Over 2.510.5%

Away & No BTTS8.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.52.1%

Away & Under 2.51.5%

Draw & Under 2.51.2%

Home & No BTTS1.1%

BTTS & Under 2.51.1%

Home & Under 2.50.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.595.5%

HT Over 1.581.6%

HT Away Win58.4%

HT Both Teams Score57.6%

2nd Half More Goals52.6%

HT/FT Away/Away52.0%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw21.3%

HT Home Win20.2%

HT Under 1.518.4%

Equal Goals Each Half15.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.2%

HT/FT Home/Home9.8%

HT/FT Home/Away6.6%

HT Under 0.54.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Away/Home2.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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