Scotland · Premiership

Rangers vs Kilmarnock

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Oct 10

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

79% confidence

Rangers 79.4% Draw 12.3% Kilmarnock 7.9%

Over 2.5 - 75% BTTS - 74%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

90%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.3%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Rangers: 16 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.3%

Exact-score model probability

Rangers

W W W W W D

Form 5-1-0 Goals 7:2 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.33

Kilmarnock

L L L W W W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 14:12 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 5

Rangers 5wins ·0 draws ·Kilmarnock 0wins

Rangers 5-1 KilmarnockFeb 4, 2026

Rangers 3-0 KilmarnockDec 6, 2025

Rangers 3-1 KilmarnockOct 26, 2025

Rangers 4-2 KilmarnockFeb 26, 2025

Rangers 6-0 KilmarnockDec 4, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Rangers win79.4%

Draw12.3%

Kilmarnock win7.9%

Over 1.5 goals89.8%

Over 2.5 goals74.5%

Over 3.5 goals54.6%

Both teams to score73.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.7%

HT Over 0.5

84.6%

Home or Draw (1X)

84.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)84.4%

Home or Away (12)83.9%

Draw No Bet - Home81.8%

Both Halves Over 0.576.0%

Goal in Both Halves76.0%

Home Win68.6%

Draw or Away (X2)31.1%

Draw No Bet - Away18.2%

Draw15.8%

Away Win15.3%

Exactly 1 Goal6.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.2%

Over 1.5 Goals91.7%

Over 2.5 Goals78.2%

Under 5.5 Goals76.2%

Under 4.5 Goals60.0%

Over 3.5 Goals59.5%

4+ Goals59.5%

2-4 Goals51.7%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 3.5 Goals40.5%

Over 4.5 Goals40.0%

1-3 Goals38.7%

3-4 Goals38.2%

2-3 Goals32.2%

Over 5.5 Goals23.8%

Under 2.5 Goals21.8%

1-2 Goals20.0%

Exactly 3 Goals18.7%

Exactly 2 Goals13.5%

Under 1.5 Goals8.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.8%

Exactly 0 Goals1.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.9%

Away Team to Score73.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)68.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)31.2%

Home Clean Sheet26.6%

Home Win to Nil25.1%

Away Clean Sheet5.8%

Away Win to Nil4.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.9%

Home Over 1.577.3%

Away Over 0.573.1%

Home Over 2.553.7%

Home 3+ Goals53.7%

Away Over 1.538.0%

Away Exactly 135.2%

Away Exactly 026.6%

Home Exactly 223.6%

Away Exactly 223.2%

Home Exactly 116.6%

Away Over 2.514.7%

Away 3+ Goals14.7%

Home Exactly 05.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away92.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)84.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home84.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)84.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away84.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)69.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away69.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)68.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)51.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away51.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)48.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home48.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)31.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away31.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)29.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home29.8%

Home to win by 3+29.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.9%

Home to win by 119.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.9%

Home to win by 218.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)15.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home15.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)15.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.3%

Away to win by 19.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)7.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home7.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.1%

Away to win by 24.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.9%

Away to win by 3+1.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.563.0%

Home & Over 2.557.9%

Home & BTTS43.6%

Home & No BTTS25.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.2%

Draw & BTTS14.2%

Away & Over 2.511.9%

Away & BTTS11.0%

Home & Under 2.510.7%

Draw & Over 2.58.4%

Draw & Under 2.57.4%

BTTS & Under 2.55.8%

Away & No BTTS4.3%

Away & Under 2.53.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.6%

HT Over 1.555.8%

HT Home Win53.2%

2nd Half More Goals47.9%

HT/FT Home/Home47.5%

HT Under 1.544.2%

HT Both Teams Score32.3%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw29.5%

Equal Goals Each Half19.9%

HT Away Win17.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.9%

HT Under 0.515.4%

HT/FT Away/Away8.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home4.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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