Scotland · Premiership

Rangers vs ST Johnstone

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Oct 24

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

79% confidence

Rangers 79.3% Draw 13.6% ST Johnstone 7.0%

Over 2.5 - 63% BTTS - 47%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

84%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 15.8%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Rangers: 16 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Rangers 5 wins, 0 draws, ST Johnstone 0 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

15.8%

Exact-score model probability

Rangers

W W W W W D

Form 5-1-0 Goals 7:2 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.33

ST Johnstone

L D L W L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 6:10 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 5

Rangers 5wins ·0 draws ·ST Johnstone 0wins

Rangers 3-1 ST JohnstoneJan 12, 2025

Rangers 1-0 ST JohnstoneDec 1, 2024

Rangers 2-0 ST JohnstoneOct 6, 2024

Rangers 3-0 ST JohnstoneFeb 18, 2024

Rangers 2-0 ST JohnstoneDec 20, 2023

📈 Probability Breakdown

Rangers win79.3%

Draw13.6%

ST Johnstone win7.0%

Over 1.5 goals83.7%

Over 2.5 goals63.4%

Over 3.5 goals41.3%

Both teams to score47.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw No Bet - Home

91.4%

Home Team to Score

89.3%

Home Over 0.5

89.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)92.8%

Draw No Bet - Home91.4%

Home or Away (12)83.7%

Home Win76.5%

Both Halves Over 0.555.6%

Goal in Both Halves55.6%

Draw or Away (X2)23.4%

Exactly 1 Goal17.4%

Draw16.2%

Draw No Bet - Away8.6%

Away Win7.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals93.9%

Over 0.5 Goals93.6%

Under 4.5 Goals85.4%

Over 1.5 Goals76.2%

Under 3.5 Goals70.0%

1-3 Goals63.7%

2-4 Goals61.6%

Over 2.5 Goals52.1%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals47.9%

2-3 Goals46.3%

1-2 Goals41.5%

3-4 Goals37.5%

Over 3.5 Goals30.0%

4+ Goals30.0%

Exactly 2 Goals24.1%

Under 1.5 Goals23.8%

Exactly 3 Goals22.2%

Over 4.5 Goals14.6%

Under 0.5 Goals6.4%

Exactly 0 Goals6.3%

Over 5.5 Goals6.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)63.5%

Home Clean Sheet59.1%

Home Win to Nil52.8%

Away Team to Score40.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)36.5%

Away Clean Sheet10.7%

Away Win to Nil4.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.3%

Home Over 1.565.4%

Away Exactly 059.1%

Away Over 0.540.9%

Home Over 2.538.7%

Home 3+ Goals38.7%

Away Exactly 131.1%

Home Exactly 226.7%

Home Exactly 123.9%

Home Exactly 010.7%

Away Over 1.59.8%

Away Exactly 28.2%

Away Over 2.51.6%

Away 3+ Goals1.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home98.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)92.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home92.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)86.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away86.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)76.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)70.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away70.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)52.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home52.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)47.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away47.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)29.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home29.4%

Home to win by 3+29.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw24.2%

Home to win by 124.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)23.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away23.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw23.0%

Home to win by 223.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)13.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home13.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw5.7%

Away to win by 15.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.3%

Away to win by 21.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.2%

Away to win by 3+0.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & No BTTS52.8%

Home & Over 2.546.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.540.4%

Home & Under 2.529.9%

BTTS & Over 2.529.1%

Home & BTTS23.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.523.0%

Draw & Under 2.513.7%

Draw & BTTS9.9%

BTTS & Under 2.57.4%

Away & No BTTS4.4%

Away & Under 2.54.2%

Away & Over 2.53.0%

Away & BTTS2.8%

Draw & Over 2.52.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.571.2%

HT Under 1.564.7%

HT Home Win55.3%

HT/FT Home/Home52.3%

2nd Half More Goals43.7%

HT Draw36.1%

HT Over 1.535.3%

1st Half More Goals31.1%

HT Under 0.528.8%

Equal Goals Each Half25.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home22.0%

HT Both Teams Score13.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.0%

HT Away Win8.6%

HT/FT Away/Away3.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Away/Home2.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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