Scotland · Premiership

Rangers vs ST Mirren

Kick-off 19:45 · Wed, Sep 9

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

72% confidence

Rangers 72.3% Draw 17.6% ST Mirren 10.1%

Over 2.5 - 58% BTTS - 49%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

90%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 12.5%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to ST Mirren: 10 points versus 14 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.5%

Exact-score model probability

Rangers

W W W D L L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 7:6 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1

ST Mirren

W D W W W D

Form 4-2-0 Goals 9:4 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.67

Head to head · last 5

Rangers 2wins ·2 draws ·ST Mirren 1wins

Rangers 1-0 ST MirrenMar 15, 2026

Rangers 2-1 ST MirrenDec 30, 2025

Rangers 1-1 ST MirrenAug 24, 2025

Rangers 2-2 ST MirrenApr 26, 2025

Rangers 0-2 ST MirrenFeb 22, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Rangers win72.3%

Draw17.6%

ST Mirren win10.1%

Over 1.5 goals80.7%

Over 2.5 goals58.3%

Over 3.5 goals35.9%

Both teams to score48.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

91.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

91.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

91.0%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)74.8%

Home or Away (12)73.9%

Draw No Bet - Away65.9%

Home or Draw (1X)51.3%

Both Halves Over 0.550.0%

Goal in Both Halves50.0%

Away Win48.7%

Draw No Bet - Home34.1%

Draw26.1%

Home Win25.2%

Exactly 1 Goal20.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.9%

Over 0.5 Goals91.6%

Under 4.5 Goals89.4%

Under 3.5 Goals76.2%

Over 1.5 Goals70.8%

1-3 Goals67.8%

2-4 Goals60.2%

Under 2.5 Goals54.9%

Total Goals Even50.4%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

2-3 Goals47.0%

1-2 Goals46.5%

Over 2.5 Goals45.1%

3-4 Goals34.5%

Under 1.5 Goals29.2%

Exactly 2 Goals25.8%

Over 3.5 Goals23.8%

4+ Goals23.8%

Exactly 3 Goals21.3%

Over 4.5 Goals10.6%

Under 0.5 Goals8.4%

Exactly 0 Goals8.4%

Over 5.5 Goals4.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score77.4%

Home Team to Score62.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)51.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)48.7%

Away Clean Sheet37.1%

Away Win to Nil28.7%

Home Clean Sheet22.6%

Home Win to Nil14.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.577.4%

Home Over 0.562.9%

Away Over 1.543.8%

Home Exactly 037.1%

Home Exactly 136.8%

Away Exactly 133.6%

Home Over 1.526.1%

Away Exactly 225.0%

Away Exactly 022.6%

Away Over 2.518.8%

Away 3+ Goals18.8%

Home Exactly 218.2%

Home Over 2.57.9%

Home 3+ Goals7.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)91.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away91.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)75.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home75.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)74.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away74.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)51.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home51.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)48.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)25.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)24.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away24.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw24.2%

Away to win by 124.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.1%

Home to win by 116.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.8%

Away to win by 214.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.7%

Away to win by 3+9.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)9.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home9.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.6%

Home to win by 26.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.5%

Home to win by 3+2.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.542.6%

BTTS & Over 2.536.3%

Away & No BTTS28.7%

Away & Over 2.526.9%

Away & Under 2.521.8%

Draw & Under 2.520.7%

Away & BTTS20.0%

Draw & BTTS17.7%

Home & No BTTS14.2%

Home & Over 2.512.8%

Home & Under 2.512.4%

BTTS & Under 2.512.4%

Home & BTTS11.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.8%

Draw & Over 2.55.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.569.3%

HT Over 0.567.2%

HT Draw43.3%

2nd Half More Goals42.5%

HT Away Win35.6%

HT Under 0.532.8%

HT Over 1.530.7%

1st Half More Goals30.6%

HT/FT Away/Away29.4%

Equal Goals Each Half26.9%

HT Home Win21.1%

HT Both Teams Score17.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away16.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw16.6%

HT/FT Home/Home14.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away2.3%

HT/FT Away/Home1.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions