Brazil · Serie A

RB Bragantino vs Corinthians

Kick-off 22:30 · Sun, Aug 9

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

73% confidence

RB Bragantino 73.3% Draw 19.1% Corinthians 7.6%

Over 2.5 - 54% BTTS - 42%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 0.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 14.5%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Corinthians: 9 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14.5%

Exact-score model probability

RB Bragantino

D D W W L D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 7:4 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.67

Corinthians

D D W W L W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:6 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

RB Bragantino win73.3%

Draw19.1%

Corinthians win7.6%

Over 1.5 goals78.5%

Over 2.5 goals53.8%

Over 3.5 goals31.5%

Both teams to score41.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

91.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

91.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

91.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)91.3%

Draw No Bet - Home89.5%

Home or Away (12)82.9%

Home Win74.3%

Both Halves Over 0.556.9%

Goal in Both Halves56.9%

Draw or Away (X2)25.7%

Draw17.0%

Exactly 1 Goal16.7%

Draw No Bet - Away10.5%

Away Win8.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.1%

Under 5.5 Goals93.2%

Under 4.5 Goals84.3%

Over 1.5 Goals77.4%

Under 3.5 Goals68.5%

1-3 Goals62.6%

2-4 Goals61.7%

Over 2.5 Goals53.8%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals46.2%

2-3 Goals45.9%

1-2 Goals40.3%

3-4 Goals38.1%

Over 3.5 Goals31.5%

4+ Goals31.5%

Exactly 2 Goals23.6%

Under 1.5 Goals22.6%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Over 4.5 Goals15.7%

Over 5.5 Goals6.8%

Under 0.5 Goals5.9%

Exactly 0 Goals5.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)59.3%

Home Clean Sheet54.3%

Home Win to Nil48.4%

Away Team to Score45.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)40.7%

Away Clean Sheet10.8%

Away Win to Nil4.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.1%

Home Over 1.565.0%

Away Exactly 054.3%

Away Over 0.545.6%

Home Over 2.538.3%

Home 3+ Goals38.3%

Away Exactly 133.1%

Home Exactly 226.8%

Home Exactly 124.1%

Away Over 1.512.5%

Home Exactly 010.8%

Away Exactly 210.1%

Away Over 2.52.4%

Away 3+ Goals2.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)91.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home91.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)87.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away87.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)74.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)72.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away72.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)50.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home50.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)49.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away49.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)27.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home27.7%

Home to win by 3+27.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)25.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away25.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw24.2%

Home to win by 124.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw22.3%

Home to win by 222.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)12.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home12.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.6%

Away to win by 16.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.7%

Away to win by 21.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.4%

Away to win by 3+0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & No BTTS48.4%

Home & Over 2.546.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.538.2%

BTTS & Over 2.532.7%

Home & Under 2.527.6%

Home & BTTS25.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.521.1%

Draw & Under 2.513.9%

Draw & BTTS11.1%

BTTS & Under 2.58.0%

Away & No BTTS4.9%

Away & Under 2.54.7%

Away & Over 2.54.0%

Away & BTTS3.7%

Draw & Over 2.53.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.572.1%

HT Under 1.563.6%

HT Home Win53.8%

HT/FT Home/Home50.3%

2nd Half More Goals44.0%

HT Over 1.536.4%

HT Draw36.2%

1st Half More Goals31.2%

HT Under 0.527.9%

Equal Goals Each Half24.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home21.4%

HT Both Teams Score15.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.1%

HT Away Win10.0%

HT/FT Away/Away4.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Away/Home2.6%

HT/FT Home/Away0.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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