Brazil · Serie A

RB Bragantino vs Coritiba

Kick-off 22:30 · Sun, Jul 26

📊 Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

87% confidence

RB Bragantino 70.0% Draw 15.0% Coritiba 15.0%

Over 2.5 - 87% BTTS - 77%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

High scoring

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 39%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score (GG)

BTTS rate high

80%

Home or Draw (1X)

Home advantage

75%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

RB Bragantino has a strong home record, scoring 2 goals per game. Coritiba concedes 2.2 goals per game. With RB Bragantino's xG at 3.542, they are likely to score multiple goals. Coritiba's high BTTS rate also suggests both teams will score. 5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the high scoring potential of both teams.

💡

Top Tip

Over 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

RB Bragantino win70.0%

Draw15.0%

Coritiba win15.0%

Over 1.5 goals96.8%

Over 2.5 goals86.8%

Over 3.5 goals75.2%

Both teams to score76.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

90.1%

Over 2.5 Goals

87.6%

Home or Away (12)

86.1%

Over 0.5 Goals98.4%

Home Team to Score96.0%

Home Over 0.596.0%

Over 1.5 Goals95.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.3%

HT Over 0.590.1%

Over 2.5 Goals87.6%

Home or Away (12)86.1%

Home Over 1.585.8%

Home or Draw (1X)85.6%

Both Halves Over 0.584.8%

Goal in Both Halves84.8%

Draw No Bet - Home84.5%

Away Team to Score79.0%

Away Over 0.579.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)76.6%

Over 3.5 Goals74.4%

4+ Goals74.4%

BTTS & Over 2.573.3%

Home Win72.7%

Home Over 2.567.6%

Home 3+ Goals67.6%

HT Over 1.567.2%

Home & Over 2.567.0%

Under 5.5 Goals60.2%

HT Home Win58.3%

Over 4.5 Goals57.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)55.7%

Home & BTTS53.3%

HT/FT Home/Home52.9%

2nd Half More Goals49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Total Goals Even49.5%

Away Over 1.547.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)43.2%

Under 4.5 Goals42.7%

HT Both Teams Score40.9%

Over 5.5 Goals39.8%

2-4 Goals38.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)37.8%

Home to win by 3+37.8%

HT Under 1.532.8%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

Away Exactly 132.0%

3-4 Goals30.3%

Draw or Away (X2)26.2%

Under 3.5 Goals25.6%

Away Exactly 225.6%

HT Draw24.9%

1-3 Goals24.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)23.4%

Away Over 2.521.4%

Away 3+ Goals21.4%

2-3 Goals21.0%

Home Clean Sheet20.0%

Away Exactly 020.0%

Home Win to Nil19.4%

Home & No BTTS19.4%

Home Exactly 218.2%

Home to win by 217.9%

Equal Goals Each Half17.7%

Home to win by 117.0%

HT Away Win16.7%

Draw No Bet - Away15.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.514.3%

Away Win13.3%

Exactly 3 Goals13.2%

Draw12.9%

Under 2.5 Goals12.4%

Draw & BTTS12.3%

Away & Over 2.511.7%

Away & BTTS11.0%

1-2 Goals10.7%

Home Exactly 110.3%

HT Under 0.59.9%

Draw & Over 2.59.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.0%

Exactly 2 Goals7.7%

Away to win by 17.7%

HT/FT Away/Away7.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.7%

Home & Under 2.55.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home5.3%

Under 1.5 Goals4.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.1%

Draw & Under 2.53.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.8%

Away to win by 23.6%

BTTS & Under 2.53.3%

Exactly 1 Goal3.0%

Away Clean Sheet2.9%

Home Exactly 02.9%

Away Win to Nil2.3%

Away & No BTTS2.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.0%

Away to win by 3+2.0%

Away & Under 2.51.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.6%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Coritiba

S. Gomez Injury

Rodrigo Rodrigues Ankle Injury

Fabinho Inactive

RB Bragantino

A. Sant'Anna Red Card

I. Pitta Injury

Fabricio Ankle Injury

Vanderlan Knee Injury

Fabinho Red Card

Davi Gomes Knee Injury

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

RB Bragantino win45%

Draw45%

Coritiba win10%

AdviceDouble chance : RB Bragantino or draw

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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